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New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014








New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014


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New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014






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November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)
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Maggie Hassan at Clinton Kaine rally Aug 2016 2.jpg

No image.svg
Nominee

Maggie Hassan

Walt Havenstein

Party

Democratic

Republican
Popular vote

254,666
229,610
Percentage

52.5%
47.3%


New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014 results by municipality.svg
Results by municipality






Governor before election

Maggie Hassan
Democratic



Elected Governor

Maggie Hassan
Democratic





The 2014 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election to New Hampshire's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.


Incumbent Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan ran for re-election to a second term in office. She defeated the Republican nominee, businessman Walt Havenstein.




Contents





  • 1 Background


  • 2 Democratic primary

    • 2.1 Candidates

      • 2.1.1 Declared




  • 3 Republican primary

    • 3.1 Candidates

      • 3.1.1 Declared


      • 3.1.2 Declined



    • 3.2 Polling



  • 4 General election

    • 4.1 Debates


    • 4.2 Predictions


    • 4.3 Polling


    • 4.4 Results



  • 5 References


  • 6 External links




Background[edit]


Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch decided to retire in 2012, rather than seek re-election to a fifth term in office. The Democratic nominee, former State Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan, defeated the Republican nominee, attorney and 1996 gubernatorial nominee Ovide M. Lamontagne, 55% to 43%.


New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years. On only one occasion since 1926 has a first-term governor of New Hampshire been defeated for re-election to a second term: in 2004, when Lynch beat incumbent Republican Governor Craig Benson.[1][2]


Hassan also had and continues to have high approval ratings. An April 2014 WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll found that 57% of registered voters approved of the job she was doing, 58% had a favorable opinion of her, and 70% thought the state was going in the right direction.[3] For these reasons, Hassan was not considered vulnerable going into the election. The Cook Political Report,[4]Daily Kos Elections,[5]Governing[6] and Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] all considered the race "likely Democratic" and RealClearPolitics[8] and The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race "safe Democratic".[9]



Democratic primary[edit]



Candidates[edit]



Declared[edit]



  • Ian Freeman, radio show host[10]


  • Maggie Hassan, incumbent Governor[11]

  • Clecia Terrio, candidate for the State House in 2012[12]

Hassan won the Democratic Party primary, held on September 9, 2014, with 94.3% of the votes cast.[13]



Republican primary[edit]



Candidates[edit]



Declared[edit]


  • Daniel J. Greene[14]


  • Walt Havenstein, businessman[15]

  • Andrew Hemingway, businessman, Tea Party activist and candidate for Chairman of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee in 2013[16][17]

  • Jonathan Smolin[14]

Havenstein won the Republican Party primary, held on September 9, 2014, with 55.6% of the votes cast.[13]



Declined[edit]



  • William Harrison Binnie, industrialist, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[18]


  • Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative[19]

  • Brad Cook, attorney[20][21]


  • Jeanie Forrester, State Senator[18]


  • Ted Gatsas, Mayor of Manchester[22]


  • Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative (ran for NH-01)[23][24]


  • Gary Lambert, former State Senator (ran for NH-02)[25]


  • George Lambert, State Representative[26]


  • Ovide Lamontagne, businessman, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Governor in 1996 and 2012[27]


  • Chuck Morse, State Senator[22]


  • Bob Odell, State Senator[18]

  • John Reagan, State Senator[28][29]

  • Chuck Rolecek, businessman and candidate for the Executive Council of New Hampshire in 2012[18]


  • Andy Sanborn, State Senator[30]


  • Kevin H. Smith, conservative activist, former State Representative and candidate for Governor in 2012[1][31]


  • John Stephen, former Commissioner of the New Hampshire Department of Health & Human Services and nominee for Governor in 2010[22]


  • Christopher Sununu, Executive Councillor, son of former Governor John H. Sununu and brother of former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu (ran for re-election)[32]


  • John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator[33]


Polling[edit]


























































Poll source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size

Margin of
error
Bill
Binnie
Ted
Gatsas
Daniel
Greene
Walt
Havenstein
Andrew
Hemingway
George
Lambert
Chuck
Morse
Jonathan
Smolin
Other
Undecided

Suffolk
June 14–18, 2014
419
±4.8%


3.82%

12.89%
6.92%


1.67%


74.7%

Vox Populi Polling
May 14–15, 2014
?
±5.2%




12%

12%





76%

Suffolk
Feb. 27–Mar. 5, 2014
426
± ?
8.45%

15.02%


1.88%
1.88%
7.04%



65.72%


General election[edit]



Debates[edit]



  • Complete video of debate, October 22, 2014


Predictions[edit]

















Source
Ranking
As of

The Cook Political Report[34]

Lean D
November 3, 2014

Sabato's Crystal Ball[35]

Lean D
November 3, 2014

Rothenberg Political Report[36]

Likely D
November 3, 2014

Real Clear Politics[37]

Tossup
November 3, 2014


Polling[edit]






































































































































































































































































































































Poll source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size

Margin of
error
Maggie
Hassan (D)
Walt
Havenstein (R)
Other
Undecided

Public Policy Polling
November 1–3, 2014
1,690
± 2.4%

51%
46%

3%

WMUR/UNH
October 29–November 2, 2014
757
± 3.6%

47%
43%
1%
9%

New England College
October 31–November 1, 2014
1,526
± 2.51%

51%
43.7%
2.4%
2.9%

Rasmussen Reports
October 29–30, 2014
940
± 3%

51%
42%

7%

Vox Populi Polling
October 27–28, 2014
638
± 3.9%
44%

47%

7%

WMUR/UNH
October 19–22, 2014
555
± 4.2%

52%
37%
1%
11%

American Research Group
October 19–22, 2014
600
± 4%

48%
46%

6%

New England College
October 24, 2014
1,132
± 2.91%

47.2%
46.9%
2.2%
3.7%

CBS News/NYT/YouGov
October 16–23, 2014
1,042
± 4%

47%
38%
1%
13%

American Research Group
October 19–22, 2014
600
± 4%

53%
43%

4%

Public Policy Polling
October 20–21, 2014
764
± ?

53%
43%

4%

CNN/ORC
October 18–21, 2014
645 LV
± 4%

51%
45%

4%
877 RV
± 3.5%

54%
40%

5%

UMass Lowell
October 15–21, 2014
643 LV
± 4.5%

49%
45%

7%
900 RV
± 3.8%

49%
40%

11%

Suffolk/Boston Herald
October 16–19, 2014
500
± ?

49.4%
39.2%

11.4%

New England College
October 16, 2014
921
± 3.23%

50.7%
42.5%
2.6%
4.2%

New England College
October 9, 2014
1,081
± 2.98%

48.7%
43.5%
2.7%
5.1%

High Point University
October 4–8, 2014
824
± 3.4%

50%
42%
4%
4%

WMUR/UNH
September 29–October 5, 2014
532
± 4.2%

46%
36%
2%
16%

New England College
October 3, 2014
1,286
± 2.73%

51.4%
41.3%
3%
4.4%

CBS News/NYT/YouGov
September 20–October 1, 2014
1,260
± 3%

49%
39%
0%
12%

New England College
September 26, 2014
1,331
± 2.69%

47.9%
44.1%
2.9%
5.1%

American Research Group
September 27–29, 2014
600
± 4%

55%
40%

5%

New England College
September 19–20, 2014
1,494
± 2.54%

52%
39.6%
3.8%
4.6%

Public Policy Polling
September 18–19, 2014
652
± 3.8%

52%
43%

4%

Vox Populi Polling
September 15–16, 2014
550
± 4.2%

47%
43%

10%

American Research Group
September 12–15, 2014
544
± 4.2%

48%
40%

12%

New England College
September 10–11, 2014
630
± 3.98%

51.3%
36.2%
3.9%
8.6%

Rasmussen Reports
September 10–11, 2014
750
± 4%

51%
40%
3%
6%

CBS News/NYT/YouGov
August 18–September 2, 2014
1,159
± 4%

51%
34%
3%
13%

WMUR/UNH
August 7–17, 2014
609
± 4%

49%
32%
1%
18%

National Research/RGA
August 10–13, 2014
600
± 4%

42%
37%
1%
18%

CBS News/NYT/YouGov
July 5–24, 2014
1,246
± 2.9%

53%
38%
2%
7%

WMUR/UNH
June 19–July 1, 2014
669
± 3.8%

58%
29%
1%
10%

Suffolk/Boston Herald
June 14–18, 2014
800
± 3.5%

50.63%
19%
2.88%[38]27.5%

American Research Group
June 14–18, 2014
540
± 4.2%

45%
32%

23%

Vox Populi Polling
May 14–15, 2014
707
± 3.6%

43%
30%

27%

Rockefeller Center
April 21–25, 2014
412
± 4.8%

40%
19.2%


40.8%

WMUR/UNH
April 1–9, 2014
387
± 5%

49%
19%
2%
30%


Results[edit]



























U.S. gubernatorial election in New Hampshire, 2014[39]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%


Democratic

Maggie Hassan (Incumbent)

254,666

52.49


Republican
Walt Havenstein
229,610
47.32

None
Scatter
907
0.19
Total votes

485,183

100


Democratic hold


References[edit]




  1. ^ ab "Poll: Job approval ratings rise for Hassan". WMUR. July 31, 2013. Retrieved August 2, 2013..mw-parser-output cite.citationfont-style:inherit.mw-parser-output qquotes:"""""""'""'".mw-parser-output code.cs1-codecolor:inherit;background:inherit;border:inherit;padding:inherit.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-free abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Lock-green.svg/9px-Lock-green.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-registration abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-gray-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output .cs1-lock-subscription abackground:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-red-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registrationcolor:#555.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription span,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration spanborder-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-errordisplay:none;font-size:100%.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-errorfont-size:100%.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration,.mw-parser-output .cs1-formatfont-size:95%.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-leftpadding-left:0.2em.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-rightpadding-right:0.2em


  2. ^ Schweitzer, Sarah (November 4, 2004). "Defeated after 1 term, N.H. governor fades out". The Boston Globe. Retrieved on February 6, 2011.


  3. ^ "APPROVAL OF HASSAN AND LEGISLATURE REMAINS HIGH, MOST THINK NH IS ON RIGHT TRACK" (PDF). WMUR/UNH. October 24, 2013. Retrieved February 3, 2014.


  4. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.


  5. ^ "Daily Kos Elections gubernatorial race ratings: Initial ratings for 2013-14". Retrieved November 22, 2013.


  6. ^ Jacobson, Louis (July 18, 2013). "Handicapping the 2013-2014 Governors Races: The Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 25, 2013.


  7. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.


  8. ^ (updates) "2014 Governors Races" Check |url= value (help).


  9. ^ "Ratings". Retrieved September 6, 2013.


  10. ^ Dan Tuohy (June 12, 2014). "Liberty Activist, Free Stater Running for Governor as a Democrat". Salem Patch. Retrieved July 1, 2014.


  11. ^ Mackin, Jean (May 30, 2014). "Gov. Hassan announces she is running for reelection". WMUR-TV. Retrieved June 11, 2014.


  12. ^ "OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF STATE - ELECTION DIVISION DEMOCRATIC CUMULATIVE FILING AS OF 07/22/2014". New Hampshire Secretary of State. July 22, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014.


  13. ^ ab "New Hampshire Gubernatorial Election, 2014". October 29, 2014. Retrieved October 31, 2014.


  14. ^ ab Tuohy, Dan (June 30, 2014). "Ballot Law Commission Confirms Havenstein Candidacy". Nashua Patch. Retrieved July 15, 2014.


  15. ^ John DiStaso (2 April 2014). "Republican Walt Havenstein running for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved 2 April 2014.


  16. ^ Ronayne, Kathleen (January 30, 2014). "Entrepreneur, political activist Andrew Hemingway to challenge Hassan for governor". Concord Monitor. Retrieved January 31, 2014.


  17. ^ Scott Conroy (July 1, 2014). "Andrew Hemingway: A Millennial Governor in N.H.?". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 2, 2014.


  18. ^ abcd Pindell, James (September 10, 2013). "The list: which Republicans could run for major office next year". WMUR. Retrieved September 10, 2013.


  19. ^ Pindell, James (September 3, 2013). "Bradley rules out running for statewide office next year". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved September 3, 2013.


  20. ^ DiStaso, John (September 11, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: GOP Manchester attorney Brad Cook confirms eyeing a run for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 11, 2013.


  21. ^ DiStaso, John (January 29, 2014). "Conservative activist Andrew Hemingway plans run for NH governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved February 2, 2014.


  22. ^ abc Pindell, James (November 9, 2012). "Political Standing for Nov. 9, 2012". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved January 28, 2013.


  23. ^ Toeplitz, Shira (November 29, 2012). "New Hampshire: Guinta Opens Door to Senate, Comeback Bids". Roll Call. Retrieved January 28, 2013.


  24. ^ Cahn, Emily (September 24, 2013). "Ex-Congressman Launches Rematch Bid With Bipartisan Tone". Roll Call. Retrieved September 24, 2013.


  25. ^ "Former NH state GOP sen. Gary Lambert to announce House bid against Democrat Annie Kuster". Associated Press. Daily Journal. September 4, 2013. Retrieved September 4, 2013.


  26. ^ Landrigan, Kevin (June 11, 2013). "Socially liberal, fiscally conservative Litchfield GOP Rep. Lambert may run for governor". Nashua Telegraph. Retrieved June 11, 2013.


  27. ^ Lessard, Ryan (April 15, 2013). "Ovide Lamontagne Takes Major Anti-Abortion Job In D.C." nhpr.org. Retrieved April 19, 2013.


  28. ^ Pindell, James (February 13, 2014). "NH Sen. Reagan being encouraged to run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved February 13, 2014.


  29. ^ John DiStaso (April 4, 2014). "NH State Sen. John Reagan (R) ..." Twitter. Retrieved April 7, 2014.


  30. ^ Pindell, James (September 27, 2013). "GOP state Sen. Andy Sanborn will not run for governor". WMUR Political Scoop. Retrieved October 1, 2013.


  31. ^ Brennan, Kevin (January 25, 2013). "Smith Considering Another Gov. Run in N.H." National Journal. Retrieved January 28, 2013.


  32. ^ DiStaso, John (July 18, 2013). "John DiStaso's Granite Status: Chris Sununu won't run for Gov, US House or US Senate in '14; plans to seek reelection to Executive Council". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved July 19, 2013.


  33. ^ DiStato, John (April 12, 2013). "Exclusive: Former Sen. John E. Sununu won't run for office in 2014". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved April 12, 2013.


  34. ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 4, 2018.


  35. ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 4, 2018.


  36. ^ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 4, 2018.


  37. ^ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 4, 2018.


  38. ^ abcd Max Abramson (L)


  39. ^ "Governor - 2014 General Election". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2014.



External links[edit]



  • New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia


  • Campaign contributions at FollowTheMoney.org

Official campaign websites

  • Maggie Hassan for Governor incumbent

  • Walt Havenstein for Governor

  • Andrew Hemingway for Governor

  • Libertarian Candidates for 2014









Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=New_Hampshire_gubernatorial_election,_2014&oldid=865022421"





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