Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
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This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2012. The polls listed here, by state are from January 1 to August 31, 2012 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Note: Some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012
Obama vs. Romney
Obama vs. Gingrich
Obama vs. Santorum
Obama vs. Paul
Contents
1 Alabama
2 Arizona
3 Arkansas
4 California
5 Colorado
6 Connecticut
7 Florida
8 Georgia
9 Illinois
10 Indiana
11 Iowa
12 Maine
13 Maryland
14 Massachusetts
15 Michigan
16 Minnesota
17 Missouri
18 Montana
19 Nebraska
20 Nevada
21 New Hampshire
22 New Jersey
23 New Mexico
24 New York
25 North Carolina
26 North Dakota
27 Ohio
28 Oklahoma
29 Oregon
30 Pennsylvania
31 South Carolina
32 South Dakota
33 Tennessee
34 Texas
35 Utah
36 Vermont
37 Virginia
38 Washington
39 West Virginia
40 Wisconsin
41 See also
42 Notes
Alabama[edit]
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital Survey Research Center | August 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 18 | 452 RV | ±4.6% |
Capital Survey Research Center | June 7, 18–19, 26–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 15 | 551 | ±4.2% |
Arizona[edit]
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 11 | 833 RV | ±% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 13 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | June 4–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 791 | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling | May 17 – May 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Magellan Strategies | April 30 – May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 9 | 909 | ±3.25% |
Behavior Research Center | April 9–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 2 | 511 | ±4.4% |
Arizona State University | April 8–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 488 | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 11 | 500 | ±4.5% |
| 44% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 1 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College | February 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 2,487 | ±1.8% |
| Barack Obama | 41% | Ron Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tie | 743 | ±3.6% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Ron Paul | 42% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 4 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Santorum | 47% | 1 | ||||
Behavior Research Center | January 5–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 553 | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Ron Paul | 36% | 8 | ||||
45% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 10 | |||||
43% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 9 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 9% | 4 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Arkansas[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business-Hendrix College | March 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 57% | 24 | 759 | ±3.6% |
California[edit]
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Field Poll | June 21 – July 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 18 | 848LV | ±3.4% |
SurveyUSA | May 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 1,575 | ±2.5% |
Field | May 21–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 16 | 710 | ±3.8% |
Los Angeles Times | May 17–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 19 | 1,002 | ±3.5% |
PPIC | May 14–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 894 | ±% |
Survey USA | March 29, 2012 – April 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 31 | 1,995 | ±2.2% |
Los Angeles Times | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 1,500 | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 8–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 22 | 500 | ±4.5% |
58% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 28 | |||||
SurveyUSA | February 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 29 | 2,088 | ±2.1% |
63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | |||||
61% | Ron Paul | 29% | 31 | |||||
61% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 32 |
Colorado[edit]
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keating Research | August 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Purple Strategies | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen | August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 779 LV | ±3.5% |
Purple Strategies | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
We Ask America | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.6% | Mitt Romney | 43.0% | 3.6 | 1,083LV | ±2.98% |
Public Policy Polling | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 799LV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 500 | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 | ±4.0% |
NBC News/Marist Poll | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 1,030 | ±3.0% |
Project New America | May 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 601 | ±4.0% |
Purple Poll | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 1,705 | ±4.1% |
Public Policy Polling | April 5–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | 542 | ±4.2% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | |||||
54% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 16 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 42% | 5 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Gary Johnson | 4% | 4 | 779 | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 39% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 8 | 799 | ±3.5% |
Connecticut[edit]
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 7 | 1,472 LV | ±2.6% |
Rasmussen | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac | May 29, 2012 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 | 1,408 | ±2.6% |
Quinnipiac | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 16 | 1,622 | ±2.4% |
55% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 20 |
Florida[edit]
29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/TIME/ORC | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 776 LV | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac | August 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,241 LV | ±% |
Gravis Marketing | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 728 LV | ±3.8% |
Foster Mc Collum | August 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 14 | 1,503 LV | ±2.53% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,177 LV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling | July 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 871 LV | ±3.3% |
SurveyUSA | July 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 647 LV | ±3.9% |
Purple Strategies | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Mason Dixon | July 9-11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 800RV | ±3.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | July 1–2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46.1% | Mitt Romney | 45.3% | 0.8 | 1,127LV | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 1,200RV | ±2.8% |
Quinnipiac | June 12–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 1,697RV | ±2.4% |
Purple Strategies | May 31, 2012 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 4 | 600LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | May 31 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 642RV | ±3.9% |
Quinnipiac | May 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 | 1,722RV | ±2.4% |
NBC News/Marist | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,078RV | ±3.0% |
Suffolk/7News | May 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 600 | ±--% |
Quinnipiac | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,169 | ±2.9% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Purple Poll | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,705 | ±4.1% |
Fox News Anderson Robbins Shaw & Co. | April 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 757 | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | April 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 8 | 700 | ±3.7% |
50% | Ron Paul | 40% | 10 | |||||
50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | |||||
Quinnipiac | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,228 | ±2.8% |
50% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 13 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | March 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 500 | ±4.5% |
45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | February 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 500 | ±4.5% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 1 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College | January 25–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 2,795 | ±1.9% |
52% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 17 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 36% | 14 | |||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 15 | |||||
Mason-Dixon Miami Herald El Nuevo Herald | January 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 800 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 9 | ||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 11 | |||||
Suffolk University | January 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 5 | 600 | ±--% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac | January 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,518 | ±2.5% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | ||||
47% | Ron Paul | 39% | 8 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
Everglades Foundation/Tarrance Group | January 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 607 | ±4.1% |
Quinnipiac | January 4–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,412 | ±2.8% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Dixon | July 9-11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Gary Johnson | 2% | 1 | 800 | ±3.5% |
Georgia[edit]
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20/20 Insight | August 15–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 3 | 1,158 LV | ±2.9% |
Insider Advantage | May 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 12 | 438 | ±% |
Landmark/Rosetta Stone | May 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 11 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Survey USA | February 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 4 | 1,156 | ±2.9% |
| 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
| 43% | Rick Santorum | 47% | 4 | |||||
| 43% | Ron Paul | 46% | 3 |
Illinois[edit]
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crain's/Ipsos | July 16–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 20 | 600 | ±4.7% |
Chicago Tribune | February 2–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 21 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Indiana[edit]
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ramussen Reports | July 31 – August 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 16 | 400 | ±5.0% |
Ramussen Reports | May 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 6 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Howey Politics DePauw University Bellwether Research Garin-Hart-Yang | March 26–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 9 | 503 | ±4.5% |
| 41% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 5 |
Iowa[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,244 | ±2.8% |
Rasmussen | August 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | July 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 1,131 | ±2.91% |
We Ask America | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,086 | ±3.0% |
Ramussen Reports | June 11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 500 | ±4.0% |
NBC News/Marist Poll | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 1,106 | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling | May 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 39% | 8 | 1,181 | ±2.85% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 | ||||
Des Moines Register | February 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | 611 | ±3.5% |
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
| 42% | Ron Paul | 49% | 7 | |||||
| 44% | Rick Santorum | 48% | 4 |
Maine[edit]
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Critical Insights | June 20–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 14 | 615 | ±4.0% |
MassINC | June 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 14 | 506LV | ±4.4% |
Critical Insights | May 2–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | March 2–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Ron Paul | 38% | 16 | 1,256 | ±2.8% |
58% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 23 | |||||
60% | Newt Gingrich | 32% | 28 | |||||
58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 |
Maryland[edit]
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 14–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 | 852 | ±3.4% |
Massachusetts[edit]
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 16 – 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 1,115LV | ±2.9% |
Public Policy Polling | June 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 16 | 902LV | ±3.3% |
W.N.E. University Poll | May 29–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 22 | 504 | ±4.4% |
The Boston Globe | May 25–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 12 | 651 | ±3.8% |
Suffolk University | May 20–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 25 | 600 | ±% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 21 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | March 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | 34 | 936 | ±3.2% |
58% | Ron Paul | 30% | 28 | |||||
58% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 23 | |||||
61% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 32 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | February 11–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 17 | 500 | ±4.5% |
58% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 26 | |||||
Suffolk University | February 11–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | 600 | ±4.0% |
53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | |||||
59% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 27 | |||||
60% | Ron Paul | 26% | 34 |
Four Way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Green | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±3.3% Sample size: 902LV | June 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Jill Stein | 3% | Gary Johnson | 1% | 15 |
Michigan[edit]
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPIC-MRA | August 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | N/A | ±2.6% |
Detroit News | August 18–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47.5% | Mitt Romney | 42.0% | 5.5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Foster McCollum | August 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 1,733 LV | ±2.35% |
Mitchell Research | August 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 1,079 LV | ±2.98% |
EPIC-MRA | July 24–31, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 600 | ±3.5% |
Mitchell Research | July 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 825 LV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen | July 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
PPP | July 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 579 RV | ±4.1% |
NBC News/Marist College | June 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 5 | 1209 LV | ±3.0% |
Mitchell | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 750 LV | ±3.58% |
We Ask America | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,010LV | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Foster McCollum | June 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 1,783 | ±2.32% |
EPIC-MRA | June 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | May 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Glengariff Group | May 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 600 | ±4.0% |
EPIC-MRA | March 31 – April 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43 | 4 | 600 | ±4.0% |
NBC News/Marist College | February 19–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Rick Santorum | 29% | 26 | 3,149 | ±1.8% |
56% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | 28 | |||||
53% | Ron Paul | 31% | 22 | |||||
51% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 18 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | February 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 11 | 560 | ±4.14% |
56% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 22 | |||||
52% | Ron Paul | 34% | 18 | |||||
54% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 16 | |||||
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA | January 21–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 600 | ±4.0% |
48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 |
Minnesota[edit]
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | July 17–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 552 | ±4.3% |
Public Policy Polling | May 31 – June 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 15 | 973 | ±3.1% |
Survey USA | May 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 516 | ±4.4% |
Survey USA | January 31 – February 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 13 | 542 | ±4.3% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 29% | 26 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 37% | 11 | |||||
51% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 19 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | January 21–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 15 | 1,236 | ±2.8% |
52% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 12 | |||||
51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
51% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 10 |
Missouri[edit]
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 12 | 621 LV | ±3.9% |
Gravis Marketing | August 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 17 | 1,057 LV | ±3.4% |
Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon | August 22–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 625 LV | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen | August 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 10 | 500 LV | ±4.4% |
SurveyUSA | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 585 LV | ±4.1% |
Chilenski Strategies | August 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 663LV | ±3.8% |
Rasmussen | July 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 6 | 500 | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.7% | Mitt Romney | 49.0% | 9.3 | 1,172 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | May 24–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 602 | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 14–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 9 | 500 | ±4.5% |
| Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 27–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 7 | 582 | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Ron Paul | 43% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 3 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
We Ask America | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39.7% | Mitt Romney | 49.0% | Gary Johnson | 2.1% | 9.3 | 1,172 LV | ±3.0% |
Montana[edit]
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | August 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 17 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 9 | 500 | ±5.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 7 | 450 | ±5.0% |
Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 5 | 934 | ±3.2% |
| 41% | Ron Paul | 49% | 8 | |||||
| Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | Tie | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | February 22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | 500 | ±4.5% |
| 41% | Rick Santorum | 45% | 4 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 43% | Gary Johnson | 8% | 2 | 934 | ±3.2% |
Nebraska[edit]
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | May 16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 14 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling (Statewide) | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 12 | 1,028 | ±3.1% |
| 38% | Rick Santorum | 55% | 17 | |||||
| 40% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 9 | |||||
| 37% | Ron Paul | 49% | 12 | |||||
Public Policy Polling (2nd Congressional District) | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 1,028 | ±3.1% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 47% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Ron Paul | 44% | 2 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | March 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 17 | 500 | ±4.5% |
| 37% | Rick Santorum | 49% | 12 |
Nevada[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 831 LV | ±3.4% |
LVRJ/SurveyUSA | August 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 869 LV | ±3.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 500 | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | July 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 1,092 | ±2.95% |
Magellan Strategies | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 665 | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling | June 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 500 | ±4.4% |
NBC News/Marist | May 22–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,040 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 8 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | March 29 – April 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 533 | ±4.2% |
54% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 14 | |||||
49% | Ron Paul | 42% | 7 | |||||
54% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 15 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | March 19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 500 | ±4.5% |
52% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 16 |
New Hampshire[edit]
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,055 LV | ±3.0% |
UNH/WMUR | August 1–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 555 LV | ±4.1% |
UNH/WMUR | July 5–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 521 | ±4.3% |
NBC News/Marist College | June 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 1 | 1029 LV | ±3.1% |
American Research Group | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 535RV | ±4.2% |
American Research Group | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 417LV | ±--% |
Rasmussen | June 20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 12 | 1,163 | ±2.9% |
WMUR/University of New Hampshire | April 9–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 486 | ±4.4% |
Dartmouth College | April 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42.4% | Mitt Romney | 43.9% | 1.5 | 403 | ±4.9% |
WMUR Granite State | January 25 – February 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 527 | ±4.3% |
50% | Ron Paul | 42% | 8 | |||||
60% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 25 | |||||
56% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 21 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 13 | 1,163 | ±2.9% |
New Jersey[edit]
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers University | August 23–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 14 | 710 LV | ±3.5% |
Monmouth University | July 18–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 13 | 678 RV | ±3.8% |
Quinnipiac | July 9–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 11 | 1,623 RV | ±2.4% |
Rutgers-Eagleton | May 31 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 23 | 1,065 RV | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac | May 9–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 1,582 | ±2.5% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | April 30 – May 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 14 | 797 | ±3.5% |
Quinnipiac | April 3–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40 | 9 | 1,607 | ±2.4% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 15 | |||||
Quinnipiac | February 21–27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 1,396 | ±2.6% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 30% | 25 | |||||
52% | Rick Santorum | 34% | 18 | |||||
Survey USA | February 24–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 533 | ±4.3% |
61% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 34 | |||||
57% | Rick Santorum | 33% | 24 | |||||
56% | Ron Paul | 31% | 25 | |||||
Rutgers-Eagleton Institute of Politics | February 9-11 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 25 | 914 | ±3.3% |
Quinnipiac | January 10–16 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 10 | 1,460 | ±2.6% |
New Mexico[edit]
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 14 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | July 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 724 | ±3.6% |
We Ask America | July 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 1,295 LV | ±2.8% |
FMMMA | May 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 13 | 502 | ±4.4% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 14 | 526 | ±4.3% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 15 | 500 | ±4.5% |
52% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 16 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | February 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 18 | 590 | ±4.5% |
55% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 19 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Gary Johnson | 13% | 4 | 724 | ±3.64% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Gary Johnson | 15% | 13 | 526 | ±4.3% |
New York[edit]
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena | August 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 29 | 671 LV | ±3.8% |
Siena | July 10–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 61% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 27 | 758 RV | ±3.6% |
Siena | June 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | 807 | ±3.4% |
Quinnipiac | May 22–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 25 | 1,504 | ±2.5% |
Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | 766 | ±3.5% |
NY1/YNN-Marist | April 10–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 22 | 632 | ±4.0% |
Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 65% | Newt Gingrich | 29% | 36 | 808 | ±3.4% |
61% | Ron Paul | 31% | 30 | |||||
60% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 25 | |||||
62% | Rick Santorum | 23% | 39 | |||||
Quinnipiac | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 23 | 1,597 | ±2.5% |
59% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 29 | |||||
Siena College | February 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 60% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 26 | 808 | ±3.4% |
64% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 34 | |||||
62% | Ron Paul | 29% | 33 | |||||
66% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 39 | |||||
Quinnipiac | February 8–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,233 | ±2.8% |
57% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 26 | |||||
53% | Rick Santorum | 35% | 18 |
North Carolina[edit]
15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA/HPU/FOX8 | August 26–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
Elon University Poll | August 25–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 1,089 LV | ±3% |
CNN/TIME/ORC | August 22–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 766 LV | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling | August 2–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 813 LV | ±3.4% |
Civitas | July 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 775 | ±3.5% |
Civitas/SurveyUSA | June 29 – July 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 5 | 558 RV | ±4.2% |
NBC News/Marist College | June 28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1208 LV | ±3.1% |
Rasmussen | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | June 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 2 | 810 | ±3.4% |
Survey USA | May 18–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 524 | ±4.4% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 8 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 1 | 666 | ±3.8% |
Survey USA | April 26–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,636 | ±2.5% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | April 4–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 10 | 975 | ±3.1% |
48% | Ron Paul | 43% | 5 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | |||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 6 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 9 | 804 | ±3.5% |
48% | Ron Paul | 41% | 7 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 5 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | February 3–5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 5 | 1,052 | ±3.5% |
47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | |||||
48% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 2 | |||||
Civitas Institute | January 9-11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 9 | 300 | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | January 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 780 | ±3.5% |
49% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 6 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
49% | Rick Perry | 41% | 8 | |||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Santorum | 46% | Tied |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | May 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 2 | 666 | ±3.8% |
North Dakota[edit]
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DFM Research (D-ND Dems/NPL) | July 24 – 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 19 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 10–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 15 | 400 | ±5.0% |
Mason-Dixon | June 4–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 13 | 625 | ±4.0% |
Ohio[edit]
18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Columbus Dispatch | August 15–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 1,758 LV | ±2.1% |
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS | August 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,253 LV | ±% |
University of Cincinnati | August 16–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 847 LV | ±3.4% |
Purple Strategies | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Public Policy Polling | August 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 961 LV | ±3.2% |
Quinnipiac | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,193 LV | ±3.0% |
We Ask America | July 24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 1,115 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Purple Strategies | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 9 | 1,237 RV | ±2.8% |
PPP | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 673 | ±3.8% |
Purple Strategies | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 1,103RV | ±3.0% |
Quinnipiac | May 2–7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 1,069 | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling | May 3–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | 875 | ±3.3% |
50% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 7 | |||||
Quinnipiac | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 1,130 | ±2.9% |
Purple Poll | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 5 | 1,705 | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Fox News Anderson Robbins Shaw & Co. | April 15–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | 606 | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 500 | ±4.5% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 6 | |||||
Quinnipiac | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 1,246 | ±2.8% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 7 | |||||
NBC News/Marist | February 29 – March 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 | Varies[1] | ±2.5% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 15 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 38% | 10 | |||||
50% | Rick Santorum | 36% | 14 | |||||
Fox News | February 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 505 | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 6 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 40% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 41% | Ron Paul | 42% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac | February 7–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 12 | 1,421 | ±2.6% |
47% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 6 | |||||
46% | Ron Paul | 40% | 6 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | February 8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Santorum | 44% | Tied | 500 | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 28–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 6 | 820 | ±3.4% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 38% | 10 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | |||||
Quinnipiac | January 9–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 11 | 1,610 | ±2.4% |
52% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 14 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 | |||||
44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 |
Oklahoma[edit]
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4%
(Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll | July 26 – August 14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 29% | Mitt Romney | 58% | 29 | 495 LV | ±4.4% |
SoonerPoll | May 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 27% | Mitt Romney | 62% | 35 | 504 LV | ±4.4% |
Oregon[edit]
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PPP | June 21–24, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 686 | ±3.7% |
Survey USA | May 7–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,468 | ±2.6% |
Survey USA | March 14–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 1,615 | ±2.5% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 20 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 |
Pennsylvania[edit]
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia Inquirer | August 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 601 LV | ±4% |
The Morning Call | August 20–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 422 LV | ±5% |
Franklin and Marshall College | August 7–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 681 RV | ±3.8% |
Quinnipiac | July 24–30, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 11 | 1,168 LV | ±3.0% |
Public Policy Polling | July 21–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 758 RV | ±3.6% |
Rasmussen | July 18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | July 9–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 7 | 1,227 LV | ±2.8% |
Quinnipiac | June 19–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | 1,252 RV | ±2.8% |
Quinnipiac | June 5–10, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 997 | ±3.1% |
Franklin & Marshall College | May 29 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 12 | 412 | ±% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac | April 25 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 8 | 1,168 | ±2.9% |
Quinnipiac | March 20–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 1,232 | ±2.8% |
48% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 7 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 8–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 689 | ±4.1% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 41% | 6 | |||||
48% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 2 | |||||
Quinnipiac | March 7–11, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 1,256 | ±2.8% |
50% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 13 | |||||
45% | Ron Paul | 40% | 5 | |||||
45% | Rick Santorum | 44% | 1 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | February 8–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 438 | ±4.5% |
46% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 6 | |||||
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | February 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 11 | 625 | ±4.0% |
49% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 8 | |||||
Franklin & Marshall College | February 14–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 33% | 8 | 592 | ±4.0% |
47% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 16 | |||||
41% | Ron Paul | 28% | 13 | |||||
45% | Rick Santorum | 37% | 8 | |||||
Susquehanna Polling and Research | February 2–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 800 | ±3.46% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 4 |
South Carolina[edit]
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reuters/Ipsos | January 10–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 995 | ±3.4% |
South Dakota[edit]
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nielson Brothers | July 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 6 | 546 | ±4.19% |
Tennessee[edit]
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt University | May 2–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 1 | 1,002 | ±4% |
Vanderbilt University | May 2–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 7 | ~752 RV | ±4% |
Middle TN State University | February 13–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | 416 | ±4.0% |
| 41% | Ron Paul | 44% | 3 | |||||
| 41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 | |||||
| 39% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 12 | |||||
Vanderbilt University | February 16–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 3 | 1,508 | ±2.6% |
| Barack Obama | 39% | Ron Paul | 40% | 1 | ||||
| 39% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | |||||
| 38% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 4 |
Texas[edit]
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Texas/Texas Tribune | May 7–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 20 | 511 | ±4.3% |
Public Policy Polling | April 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 491 | ±4.0 |
| 45% | Newt Gingrich | 47% | 2 | |||||
| 43% | Ron Paul | 47% | 4 | |||||
University of Texas/Texas Tribune | January 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 11 | Varies[2] | Varies |
| 36% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 13 | |||||
| 37% | Rick Santorum | 51% | 14 | |||||
| 35% | Ron Paul | 44% | 9 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | January 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 2 | 700 | ±3.7% |
| Barack Obama | 40% | Ron Paul | 46% | 6 | ||||
| 47% | Rick Perry | 48% | 1 | |||||
| 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
| 42% | Rick Santorum | 49% | 7 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Other candidates | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 12–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Gary Johnson | 7% | 8 | 700 | ±3.7% |
| Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 40% | Ron Paul* | 17% | 2 |
- – Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.
Utah[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones Associates | June 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 26% | Mitt Romney | 68% | 42 | 1,222 | ±2.8% |
Vermont[edit]
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Castleton State College | August 11–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 62% | Mitt Romney | 25% | 37 | 477 RV | ±% |
Castleton State College | May 7–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 28% | 31 | 607 | ±4.0% |
Castleton State College | February 11–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 31% | 26 | 800 | ±3.5% |
59% | Rick Santorum | 30% | 29 | |||||
58% | Ron Paul | 28% | 30 |
Virginia[edit]
13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 5 | 855 LV | ±3.4% |
Purple Strategies | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 3 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 7, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 1,412 LV | ±% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 16–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
Quinnipiac | July 10–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 1,673 RV | ±2.4% |
Purple Strategies | July 9–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 647 | ±3.9% |
We Ask America | June 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 43.3% | Mitt Romney | 48.0% | 4.7 | 1,106 | ±2.95% |
ODU/Virginian-Pilot | May 16 – June 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 776 RV | ±3.5% |
Purple Strategies | May 31 – June 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Quinnipiac | May 30 – June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 1,282RV | ±2.7% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 4, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 47% | Tied | 500 | ±4.5% |
NBC News/Marist | May 17–20, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 1,076 RV | ±3.0% |
Washington Post | April 28 – May 1, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 964 | ±4% |
Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 680 | ±3.8% |
50% | Ron Paul | 39% | 11 | |||||
51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | April 23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 500 | ±4.5 |
Purple Poll | April 19–23, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 1,705 | ±4.1% |
Roanoke College | March 26 – April 5, 2012 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 603 | ±4% |
Quinnipiac | March 13–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 8 | 1,034 | ±3.1% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 19 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 9 | |||||
49% | Ron Paul | 39% | 10 | |||||
NBC News/Marist College | February 29 – March 2, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,273/1,245 | ±2.8% |
57% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 26 | |||||
54% | Rick Santorum | 32% | 22 | |||||
53% | Ron Paul | 32% | 21 | |||||
Roanoke College | February 13–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 11 | 607 | ±4% |
45% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 6 | |||||
45% | Ron Paul | 35% | 10 | |||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | February 21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 500 | ±4.5% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 8 | |||||
Christopher Newport University Richmond Times-Dispatch Muhlenberg College | February 4–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | 1,018 | ±3.1% |
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Santorum | 46% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 43% | Tie | ||||
Quinnipiac | February 1–6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,544 | ±2.5% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 8 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 40% | 7 | |||||
Quinnipiac | January 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 625 | ±3.9% |
49% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 11 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Constitution Party | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Virgil Goode | 9% | 14 | 647 | ±3.9% |
Public Policy Polling | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | Virgil Goode | 5% | 12 | 680 | ±3.8% |
Washington[edit]
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | August 2–3, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 17 | 700 | ±4.4% |
SurveyUSA | July 16–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 9 | 630 | ±4% |
Marquette Law School | June 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 594 | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 500 | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | June 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 1,270 | ±2.75% |
Public Policy Polling | June 14–17, 2012 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 13 | 1,073 | ±3.0% |
Elway | June 13–16, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 408 | ±5% |
SurveyUSA | May 8–9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 14 | 557 | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling | February 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | 1,264 | ±2.76% |
53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | |||||
51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
52% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 12 | |||||
Survey USA | February 13–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 22 | 572 | ±4.2% |
50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 37% | 13 | |||||
51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 |
West Virginia[edit]
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R.L. Repass | August 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 52% | 14 | 401 LV | ±4.9% |
R.L. Repass | April 25–28, 2012 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 17 | 410 | ±4.8% |
Wisconsin[edit]
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS | August 15–21, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 2 | 1,190 LV | ±3% |
Marquette University | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 576 LV | ±4.2% |
Public Policy Polling | August 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 1,308 LV | ±2.7% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 1 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
CNN | August 13–14, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 920 RV | ±3.0% |
Quinnipiac | July 31 – August 6, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 6 | 1,691 | ±3.0% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 500 | ±4.5% |
We Ask America | July 17–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 1,162 | ±2.93% |
Marquette Law School | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 810 | ±3.5% |
Public Policy Polling | July 5–8, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,057 | ±3.3% |
Marquette Law School | May 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 8 | 600 | ±% |
St. Norbery College | May 17–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 6 | 406 | ±5.0% |
Daily Kos Wisconsin Poll | May 11–13, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 851 | ±3.4% |
Marquette Law School | May 9–12, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 600 | ±4.1% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 9, 2012 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 4 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Marquette University | April 26–29, 2012 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 9 | 705 | ±3.8% |
Public Policy Polling | April 13–15, 2012 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 6 | 1,136 | ±2.9% |
NBC News/Marist College | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 17 | 1,391–1400 | ±2.6% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 13 | |||||
56% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 25 | |||||
51% | Ron Paul | 36% | 15 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | March 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 11 | 500 | ±4.5% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | |||||
Marquette University | March 22–25, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 707 | ±3.7% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 39% | 12 | |||||
53% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 17 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 40% | 10 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | February 27, 2012 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 500 | ±4.5% |
46% | Rick Santorum | 41% | 5 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | February 23–26, 2012 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | 900 | ±3.27% |
53% | Ron Paul | 37% | 16 | |||||
53% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 14 | |||||
49% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 6 | |||||
Marquette University | February 16–19, 2012 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | 716 | ±3.7% |
51% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 11 | |||||
56% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 23 | |||||
52% | Ron Paul | 36% | 16 | |||||
Marquette University | January 19–22, 2012 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 701 | ±3.8% |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican candidate | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reason-Rupe | May 14–18, 2012 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 36% | Gary Johnson | 6% | 10 | 708 | ±3.7% |
See also[edit]
- Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2012 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012
- Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
- Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012
Notes[edit]
^ The sample size for Obama vs Romney was 1,573, the sample size for Obama vs Gingrich was 1,573, the sample size for Obama vs Paul was 1,505 and the sample size for Obama vs Santorum was 1,505
^ The sample size for Obama vs Gingrich was 527 with an MoE of ±4.27%, the sample size for Obama vs Romney was 529 with an MoE of ±4.26%, the sample size for Obama vs Santorum was 529 with an MoE of ±4.26% and the sample size for Obama vs Paul was 529 with an MoE of ±4.26%
Categories:
- Opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
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