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Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012








Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012


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This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2012. The polls listed here, by state are from January 1 to August 31, 2012 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.


Note: Some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012




Obama vs. Romney




Obama vs. Gingrich




Obama vs. Santorum




Obama vs. Paul




Contents





  • 1 Alabama


  • 2 Arizona


  • 3 Arkansas


  • 4 California


  • 5 Colorado


  • 6 Connecticut


  • 7 Florida


  • 8 Georgia


  • 9 Illinois


  • 10 Indiana


  • 11 Iowa


  • 12 Maine


  • 13 Maryland


  • 14 Massachusetts


  • 15 Michigan


  • 16 Minnesota


  • 17 Missouri


  • 18 Montana


  • 19 Nebraska


  • 20 Nevada


  • 21 New Hampshire


  • 22 New Jersey


  • 23 New Mexico


  • 24 New York


  • 25 North Carolina


  • 26 North Dakota


  • 27 Ohio


  • 28 Oklahoma


  • 29 Oregon


  • 30 Pennsylvania


  • 31 South Carolina


  • 32 South Dakota


  • 33 Tennessee


  • 34 Texas


  • 35 Utah


  • 36 Vermont


  • 37 Virginia


  • 38 Washington


  • 39 West Virginia


  • 40 Wisconsin


  • 41 See also


  • 42 Notes




AlabamaAlabama[edit]


9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%





























Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Capital Survey Research Center
August 13–16, 2012
Barack Obama
36%

Mitt Romney

54%

18
452 RV
±4.6%

Capital Survey Research Center
June 7, 18–19, 26–27, 2012
Barack Obama
36%

Mitt Romney

51%

15
551
±4.2%


ArizonaArizona[edit]


11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%





























































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
July 23–25, 2012
Barack Obama
41%

Mitt Romney

52%

11
833 RV
±%

Rasmussen Reports
June 26, 2012
Barack Obama
41%

Mitt Romney

54%

13
500 LV
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
June 4–5, 2012
Barack Obama
46%

Mitt Romney

49%

3
791
±3.5%

Public Policy Polling
May 17 – May 20, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

50%

7
500
±4.4%

Magellan Strategies
April 30 – May 2, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

52%

9
909
±3.25%

Behavior Research Center
April 9–17, 2012

Barack Obama

42%
Mitt Romney
40%

2
511
±4.4%

Arizona State University
April 8–14, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

42%

2
488
±4.4%

Rasmussen Reports
March 13, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

51%

11
500
±4.5%
44%

Rick Santorum

45%

1

NBC News/Marist College
February 19–20, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

45%

5
2,487
±1.8%
Barack Obama
41%

Ron Paul

43%

2

Barack Obama

45%

Newt Gingrich
40%

5
Barack Obama
42%

Rick Santorum

45%

3

Public Policy Polling
February 17–19, 2012

Barack Obama

47%

Mitt Romney

47%

Tie
743
±3.6%

Barack Obama

46%
Ron Paul
42%

4

Barack Obama

48%
Newt Gingrich
44%

4
Barack Obama
46%

Rick Santorum

47%

1

Behavior Research Center
January 5–9, 2012
Barack Obama
37%

Mitt Romney

43%

6
553
±4.3%

Barack Obama

44%
Ron Paul
36%

8

45%
Newt Gingrich
35%

10

43%
Rick Santorum
34%

9

Three Way race
























Poll source
Date
Democratic
%
Republican
%

Libertarian
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
May 17–20, 2012

Barack Obama
41%

Mitt Romney

45%

Gary Johnson
9%

4
500
±4.4%


ArkansasArkansas[edit]


6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%




















Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Talk Business-Hendrix College
March 26, 2012

Barack Obama
33%

Mitt Romney

57%

24
759
±3.6%


CaliforniaCalifornia[edit]


55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%












































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

The Field Poll
June 21 – July 2, 2012

Barack Obama

55%
Mitt Romney
37%

18
848LV
±3.4%

SurveyUSA
May 27–29, 2012

Barack Obama

57%
Mitt Romney
36%

21
1,575
±2.5%

Field
May 21–29, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
32%

16
710
±3.8%

Los Angeles Times
May 17–21, 2012

Barack Obama

56%
Mitt Romney
37%

19
1,002
±3.5%

PPIC
May 14–20, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
39%

11
894
±%

Survey USA
March 29, 2012 – April 2, 2012

Barack Obama

62%
Mitt Romney
31%

31
1,995
±2.2%

Los Angeles Times
March 14–19, 2012

Barack Obama

57%
Mitt Romney
36%

21
1,500
±2.9%

Rasmussen Reports
February 8–16, 2012

Barack Obama

57%
Mitt Romney
35%

22
500
±4.5%

58%

Rick Santorum
30%

28

SurveyUSA
February 8–9, 2012

Barack Obama

60%
Mitt Romney
31%

29
2,088
±2.1%

63%

Newt Gingrich
27%

36

61%

Ron Paul
29%

31

61%
Rick Santorum
29%

32


ColoradoColorado[edit]


9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%












































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Keating Research
August 21–22, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
44%

4
500
±4.4%

Purple Strategies
August 13–14, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
600
±4.0%

Rasmussen
August 6, 2012
Barack Obama
47%
Mitt Romney
47%

Tied
500 LV
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
August 2–5, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
43%

6
779 LV
±3.5%

Purple Strategies
July 9–13, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
44%

1
600 LV
±4.0%

We Ask America
June 25, 2012

Barack Obama

46.6%
Mitt Romney
43.0%

3.6
1,083LV
±2.98%

Public Policy Polling
June 14–17, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
42%

7
799LV
±3.5%

Rasmussen Reports
June 7, 2012
Barack Obama
45%
Mitt Romney
45%

Tied
500
±4.5%

Purple Strategies
May 31 – June 5, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
46%

2
600
±4.0%

NBC News/Marist Poll
May 22–24, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
45%

1
1,030
±3.0%

Project New America
May 21–24, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
44%

4
601
±4.0%

Purple Poll
April 19–23, 2012
Barack Obama
47%
Mitt Romney
47%

Tied
1,705
±4.1%

Public Policy Polling
April 5–7, 2012

Barack Obama

53%
Mitt Romney
40%

13
542
±4.2%

55%

Newt Gingrich
37%

18

54%

Rick Santorum
38%

16

47%

Ron Paul
42%

5

Three Way race



































Poll source
Date
Democratic
%
Republican
%

Libertarian
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
August 2–5, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
42%
Gary Johnson
4%

4
779
±3.5%

Public Policy Polling
June 14–17, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
39%
Gary Johnson
7%

8
799
±3.5%


ConnecticutConnecticut[edit]


7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%



















































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Quinnipiac
August 22–26, 2012

Barack Obama

52%
Mitt Romney
45%

7
1,472 LV
±2.6%

Rasmussen
August 21, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
43%

8
500 LV
±4.5%

Quinnipiac
May 29, 2012 – June 3, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
38%

12
1,408
±2.6%

Quinnipiac
March 14–19, 2012

Barack Obama

53%
Mitt Romney
37%

16
1,622
±2.4%

55%

Rick Santorum
35%

20


FloridaFlorida[edit]


29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%





























































































































































































































































































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

CNN/TIME/ORC
August 22–26, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
46%

4
776 LV
±3.5%

Quinnipiac
August 15–21, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
1,241 LV
±%

Gravis Marketing
August 20, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

48%

3
728 LV
±3.8%

Foster Mc Collum
August 17, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

54%

14
1,503 LV
±2.53%

Rasmussen Reports
August 15, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

45%

2
500
±4.5%

Purple Strategies
August 13–14, 2012
Barack Obama
47%

Mitt Romney

48%

1
600
±4.0%

Quinnipiac
July 24–30, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
45%

6
1,177 LV
±3.0%

Public Policy Polling
July 26–29, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
47%

1
871 LV
±3.3%

SurveyUSA
July 17–19, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
43%

5
647 LV
±3.9%

Purple Strategies
July 9–13, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

48%

3
600 LV
±4.0%

Mason Dixon
July 9-11, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
45%

1
800RV
±3.5%

Rasmussen Reports
July 10, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

46%

1
500LV
±4.5%

We Ask America
July 1–2, 2012

Barack Obama

46.1%
Mitt Romney
45.3%

0.8
1,127LV
±2.9%

Quinnipiac
June 19–25, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
41%

4
1,200RV
±2.8%

Quinnipiac
June 12–18, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
42%

4
1,697RV
±2.4%

Purple Strategies
May 31, 2012 – June 5, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

49%

4
600LV
±4.0%

Public Policy Polling
May 31 – June 3, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
46%

4
642RV
±3.9%

Quinnipiac
May 15–21, 2012
Barack Obama
41%

Mitt Romney

47%

6
1,722RV
±2.4%

NBC News/Marist
May 17–20, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
44%

4
1,078RV
±3.0%

Suffolk/7News
May 5–8, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
45%

1
600
±--%

Quinnipiac
April 25 – May 1, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

44%

1
1,169
±2.9%

Rasmussen Reports
April 25, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

46%

1
500
±4.5%

Purple Poll
April 19–23, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

47%

2
1,705
±4.1%

Fox News
Anderson Robbins
Shaw & Co.
April 15–17, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
43%

2
757
±4.0%

Public Policy Polling
April 12–15, 2012

Barack Obama

52%

Newt Gingrich
40%

8
700
±3.7%

50%

Ron Paul
40%

10

50%
Mitt Romney
45%

5

Quinnipiac
March 20–26, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
42%

7
1,228
±2.8%

50%

Rick Santorum
37%

13

Rasmussen Reports
March 13, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
43%

3
500
±4.5%

45%
Rick Santorum
43%

2

Rasmussen Reports
February 9, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
44%

3
500
±4.5%

47%
Rick Santorum
46%

1

NBC News/Marist College
January 25–27, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
41%

8
2,795
±1.9%

52%
Newt Gingrich
35%

17

50%
Ron Paul
36%

14

50%
Rick Santorum
35%

15

Mason-Dixon
Miami Herald
El Nuevo Herald
January 24–26, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

48%

4
800
±3.5%

Barack Obama

50%
Newt Gingrich
41%

9

50%
Rick Santorum
39%

11

Suffolk University
January 22–24, 2012
Barack Obama
42%

Mitt Romney

47%

5
600
±--%

Barack Obama

49%
Newt Gingrich
40%

9

Quinnipiac
January 19–23, 2012

Barack Obama

45%

Mitt Romney

45%

Tied
1,518
±2.5%

Barack Obama

50%
Newt Gingrich
39%

11

47%
Ron Paul
39%

8

49%
Rick Santorum
40%

9

Everglades Foundation/Tarrance Group
January 4–8, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
45%

1
607
±4.1%

Quinnipiac
January 4–8, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

46%

3
1,412
±2.8%

Barack Obama

45%
Rick Santorum
43%

2

Three Way race
























Poll source
Date
Democratic
%
Republican
%

Libertarian
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Mason Dixon
July 9-11, 2012

Barack Obama

46%

Mitt Romney
45%

Gary Johnson
2%

1
800
±3.5%


Georgia (U.S. state)Georgia[edit]


16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%



























































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

20/20 Insight
August 15–18, 2012
Barack Obama
46%

Mitt Romney

49%

3
1,158 LV
±2.9%

Insider Advantage
May 22, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

52%

12
438
±%

Landmark/Rosetta Stone
May 10, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

51%

11
600
±4.0%

Survey USA
February 23–26, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Newt Gingrich

48%

4
1,156
±2.9%
42%

Mitt Romney

49%

7
43%

Rick Santorum

47%

4
43%

Ron Paul

46%

3


IllinoisIllinois[edit]


20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%





























Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Crain's/Ipsos
July 16–22, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
31%

20
600
±4.7%

Chicago Tribune
February 2–6, 2012

Barack Obama

56%
Mitt Romney
35%

21
600
±4.0%


IndianaIndiana[edit]


11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%










































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Ramussen Reports
July 31 – August 1, 2012
Barack Obama
35%

Mitt Romney

51%

16
400
±5.0%

Ramussen Reports
May 25, 2012
Barack Obama
42%

Mitt Romney

48%

6
600
±4.0%

Howey Politics
DePauw University
Bellwether Research
Garin-Hart-Yang
March 26–27, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

49%

9
503
±4.5%
41%

Rick Santorum

46%

5


IowaIowa[edit]


6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%





































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
August 23–26, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
45%

2
1,244
±2.8%

Rasmussen
August 8, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

46%

2
500 LV
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
July 12–15, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
43%

5
1,131
±2.91%

We Ask America
June 18, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
44%

1
1,086
±3.0%

Ramussen Reports
June 11, 2012
Barack Obama
46%

Mitt Romney

47%

1
500
±4.0%

NBC News/Marist Poll
May 22–24, 2012
Barack Obama
44%
Mitt Romney
44%

Tied
1,106
±3.0%

Public Policy Polling
May 3–6, 2012

Barack Obama

47%

Ron Paul
39%

8
1,181
±2.85%

Barack Obama

51%

Mitt Romney
41%

10

Des Moines Register
February 12–15, 2012

Barack Obama

51%

Newt Gingrich
37%

14
611
±3.5%
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

46%

2
42%

Ron Paul

49%

7
44%

Rick Santorum

48%

4


MaineMaine[edit]


4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%



























































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Critical Insights
June 20–25, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
35%

14
615
±4.0%

MassINC
June 13–14, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
34%

14
506LV
±4.4%

Critical Insights
May 2–7, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
42%

8
600
±4.0%

Public Policy Polling
March 2–4, 2012

Barack Obama

54%

Ron Paul
38%

16
1,256
±2.8%

58%

Rick Santorum
35%

23

60%

Newt Gingrich
32%

28

58%

Mitt Romney
35%

23


MarylandMaryland[edit]


10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%




















Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
May 14–16, 2012

Barack Obama

58%
Mitt Romney
35%

23
852
±3.4%


MassachusettsMassachusetts[edit]


11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
August 16 – 19, 2012

Barack Obama

55%
Mitt Romney
39%

16
1,115LV
±2.9%

Public Policy Polling
June 22–24, 2012

Barack Obama

55%
Mitt Romney
39%

16
902LV
±3.3%

W.N.E. University Poll
May 29–31, 2012

Barack Obama

56%
Mitt Romney
34%

22
504
±4.4%

The Boston Globe
May 25–31, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
34%

12
651
±3.8%

Suffolk University
May 20–22, 2012

Barack Obama

59%
Mitt Romney
34%

25
600
±%

Rasmussen Reports
May 7, 2012

Barack Obama

56%
Mitt Romney
35%

21
500
±4.5%

Rasmussen Reports
April 9, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
40%

11
500
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
March 16–18, 2012

Barack Obama

62%

Newt Gingrich
28%

34
936
±3.2%

58%

Ron Paul
30%

28

58%
Mitt Romney
35%

23

61%

Rick Santorum
29%

32

Rasmussen Reports
February 11–15, 2012

Barack Obama

55%
Mitt Romney
38%

17
500
±4.5%

58%
Rick Santorum
32%

26

Suffolk University
February 11–15, 2012

Barack Obama

63%
Newt Gingrich
27%

36
600
±4.0%

53%
Mitt Romney
39%

14

59%
Rick Santorum
32%

27

60%
Ron Paul
26%

34

Four Way race
























Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Green
%
Libertarian
%
Lead margin

Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±3.3%
Sample size: 902LV
June 22–24, 2012

Barack Obama

53%

Mitt Romney
38%

Jill Stein
3%

Gary Johnson
1%

15


MichiganMichigan[edit]


16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%



























































































































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

EPIC-MRA
August 28, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
N/A
±2.6%

Detroit News
August 18–20, 2012

Barack Obama

47.5%
Mitt Romney
42.0%

5.5
600 LV
±4.0%

Foster McCollum
August 16, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

45%

1
1,733 LV
±2.35%

Mitchell Research
August 13, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
44%

5
1,079 LV
±2.98%

EPIC-MRA
July 24–31, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
42%

6
600
±3.5%

Mitchell Research
July 23, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

45%

1
825 LV
±3.4%

Rasmussen
July 23, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
42%

6
500 LV
±4.5%

PPP
July 21–23, 2012

Barack Obama

53%
Mitt Romney
39%

14
579 RV
±4.1%

NBC News/Marist College
June 28, 2012

Barack Obama

44%
Mitt Romney
39%

5
1209 LV
±3.0%

Mitchell
June 18, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
46%

1
750 LV
±3.58%

We Ask America
June 18, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

45%

2
1,010LV
±3.0%

Rasmussen Reports
June 14, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
42%

8
500 LV
±4.5%

Foster McCollum
June 12, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
45%

2
1,783
±2.32%

EPIC-MRA
June 2–5, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

46%

1
600
±4.0%

Public Policy Polling
May 24–27, 2012

Barack Obama

53%
Mitt Romney
39%

14
500
±4.4%

Glengariff Group
May 10–11, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
40%

5
600
±4.0%

EPIC-MRA
March 31 – April 3, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
43

4
600
±4.0%

NBC News/Marist College
February 19–20, 2012

Barack Obama

55%

Rick Santorum
29%

26
3,149
±1.8%

56%

Newt Gingrich
28%

28

53%

Ron Paul
31%

22

51%
Mitt Romney
33%

18

Public Policy Polling
February 10–12, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Rick Santorum
39%

11
560
±4.14%

56%
Newt Gingrich
34%

22

52%
Ron Paul
34%

18

54%
Mitt Romney
38%

16

Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA
January 21–25, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Newt Gingrich
38%

13
600
±4.0%

48%
Mitt Romney
40%

8


MinnesotaMinnesota[edit]


10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
















































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

SurveyUSA
July 17–19, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
40%

6
552
±4.3%

Public Policy Polling
May 31 – June 3, 2012

Barack Obama

54%
Mitt Romney
39%

15
973
±3.1%

Survey USA
May 9–10, 2012

Barack Obama

52%
Mitt Romney
38%

14
516
±4.4%

Survey USA
January 31 – February 2, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
36%

13
542
±4.3%

55%

Newt Gingrich
29%

26

48%

Ron Paul
37%

11

51%

Rick Santorum
32%

19

Public Policy Polling
January 21–22, 2012

Barack Obama

54%
Newt Gingrich
39%

15
1,236
±2.8%

52%
Rick Santorum
40%

12

51%
Ron Paul
38%

13

51%
Mitt Romney
41%

10


MissouriMissouri[edit]


10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%





























































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
August 28–29, 2012
Barack Obama
41%

Mitt Romney

53%

12
621 LV
±3.9%

Gravis Marketing
August 23, 2012
Barack Obama
36%

Mitt Romney

53%

17
1,057 LV
±3.4%

Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon
August 22–23, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

50%

7
625 LV
±4.0%

Rasmussen
August 22, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
46%

1
500 LV
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
August 20, 2012
Barack Obama
42%

Mitt Romney

52%

10
500 LV
±4.4%

SurveyUSA
August 9–12, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

45%

1
585 LV
±4.1%

Chilenski Strategies
August 8, 2012
Barack Obama
47%

Mitt Romney

48%

1
663LV
±3.8%

Rasmussen
July 30, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

50%

6
500
±4.5%

We Ask America
July 24, 2012
Barack Obama
39.7%

Mitt Romney

49.0%

9.3
1,172
±3.0%

Rasmussen Reports
June 7, 2012
Barack Obama
42%

Mitt Romney

49%

7
500
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
May 24–27, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
44%

1
602
±4.0%

Rasmussen Reports
April 17, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

48%

3
500
±4.5%

Rasmussen Reports
March 14–15, 2012
Barack Obama
42%

Rick Santorum

51%

9
500
±4.5%
Barack Obama
41%

Mitt Romney

50%

9

Public Policy Polling
January 27–29, 2012

Barack Obama

49%

Newt Gingrich
42%

7
582
±4.1%

Barack Obama

45%

Ron Paul
43%

2

Barack Obama

45%

Mitt Romney

45%

Tied

Barack Obama

47%
Rick Santorum
44%

3

Three Way race
























Poll source
Date
Democratic
%
Republican
%

Libertarian
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

We Ask America
July 24, 2012

Barack Obama
39.7%

Mitt Romney

49.0%

Gary Johnson
2.1%

9.3
1,172 LV
±3.0%


MontanaMontana[edit]


3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%





































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Rasmussen Reports
August 20, 2012
Barack Obama
38%

Mitt Romney

55%

17
500 LV
±4.5%

Rasmussen Reports
June 18, 2012
Barack Obama
42%

Mitt Romney

51%

9
500
±5.0%

Rasmussen Reports
May 2, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

51%

7
450
±5.0%

Public Policy Polling
April 26–29, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

48%

5
934
±3.2%
41%

Ron Paul

49%

8
Barack Obama
45%

Newt Gingrich
45%
Tie

Rasmussen Reports
February 22, 2012
Barack Obama
41%

Mitt Romney

48%

7
500
±4.5%
41%

Rick Santorum

45%

4

Three Way race
























Poll source
Date
Democratic
%
Republican
%

Libertarian
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
April 26–29, 2012
Barack Obama
41%

Mitt Romney

43%
Gary Johnson
8%

2
934
±3.2%


NebraskaNebraska[edit]


5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%














































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Rasmussen Reports
May 16, 2012
Barack Obama
39%

Mitt Romney

53%

14
500
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling (Statewide)
March 22–25, 2012
Barack Obama
39%

Mitt Romney

51%

12
1,028
±3.1%
38%

Rick Santorum

55%

17
40%

Newt Gingrich

49%

9
37%

Ron Paul

49%

12

Public Policy Polling (2nd Congressional District)
March 22–25, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

46%

1
1,028
±3.1%

Barack Obama

47%

Rick Santorum

47%

Tied

Barack Obama

46%
Newt Gingrich
44%

2
Barack Obama
42%

Ron Paul

44%

2

Rasmussen Reports
March 5, 2012
Barack Obama
35%

Mitt Romney

52%

17
500
±4.5%
37%

Rick Santorum

49%

12


NevadaNevada[edit]


6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%





















































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
August 23–26, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
47%

3
831 LV
±3.4%

LVRJ/SurveyUSA
August 16–21, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
45%

2
869 LV
±3.4%

Rasmussen Reports
July 24, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
45%

5
500
±4.5%

We Ask America
July 17–18, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
43%

6
1,092
±2.95%

Magellan Strategies
July 16–17, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
46%

4
665
±3.8%

Public Policy Polling
June 7–10, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
42%

6
500
±4.4%

NBC News/Marist
May 22–24, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
46%

2
1,040
±3.0%

Rasmussen Reports
April 30, 2012

Barack Obama

52%
Mitt Romney
44%

8
500
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
March 29 – April 1, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
43%

8
533
±4.2%

54%

Rick Santorum
40%

14

49%

Ron Paul
42%

7

54%

Newt Gingrich
39%

15

Rasmussen Reports
March 19, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
44%

6
500
±4.5%

52%
Rick Santorum
36%

16


New HampshireNew Hampshire[edit]


4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%


























































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
August 9–12, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
45%

6
1,055 LV
±3.0%

UNH/WMUR
August 1–12, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
555 LV
±4.1%

UNH/WMUR
July 5–15, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
45%

4
521
±4.3%

NBC News/Marist College
June 28, 2012

Barack Obama

43%
Mitt Romney
42%

1
1029 LV
±3.1%

American Research Group
June 21–24, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
43%

8
535RV
±4.2%

American Research Group
June 21–24, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
417LV
±--%

Rasmussen
June 20, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
43%

5
500
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
May 10–13, 2012

Barack Obama

53%
Mitt Romney
41%

12
1,163
±2.9%

WMUR/University of New Hampshire
April 9–20, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
42%

9
486
±4.4%

Dartmouth College
April 2–5, 2012
Barack Obama
42.4%

Mitt Romney

43.9%

1.5
403
±4.9%

WMUR Granite State
January 25 – February 2, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
40%

10
527
±4.3%

50%

Ron Paul
42%

8

60%

Newt Gingrich
35%

25

56%

Rick Santorum
35%

21

Three Way race
























Poll source
Date
Democratic candidate
%
Republican candidate
%

Libertarian
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
May 10–13, 2012

Barack Obama

51%

Mitt Romney
38%

Gary Johnson
7%

13
1,163
±2.9%


New JerseyNew Jersey[edit]


14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%






































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Rutgers University
August 23–25, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
37%

14
710 LV
±3.5%

Monmouth University
July 18–22, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
38%

13
678 RV
±3.8%

Quinnipiac
July 9–15, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
38%

11
1,623 RV
±2.4%

Rutgers-Eagleton
May 31 – June 4, 2012

Barack Obama

56%
Mitt Romney
33%

23
1,065 RV
±2.9%

Quinnipiac
May 9–14, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
39%

10
1,582
±2.5%

Fairleigh Dickinson University
April 30 – May 6, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
36%

14
797
±3.5%

Quinnipiac
April 3–9, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
40

9
1,607
±2.4%

51%

Rick Santorum
36%

15

Quinnipiac
February 21–27, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
39%

10
1,396
±2.6%

55%

Newt Gingrich
30%

25

52%
Rick Santorum
34%

18

Survey USA
February 24–26, 2012

Barack Obama

52%
Mitt Romney
38%

14
533
±4.3%

61%
Newt Gingrich
27%

34

57%
Rick Santorum
33%

24

56%

Ron Paul
31%

25

Rutgers-Eagleton Institute of Politics
February 9-11 2012

Barack Obama

56%
Mitt Romney
31%

25
914
±3.3%

Quinnipiac
January 10–16 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
38%

10
1,460
±2.6%


New MexicoNew Mexico[edit]


5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%


















































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Rasmussen
August 21, 2012

Barack Obama

52%
Mitt Romney
38%

14
500 LV
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
July 13–16, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
44%

5
724
±3.6%

We Ask America
July 9–10, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
40%

11
1,295 LV
±2.8%

FMMMA
May 16–21, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
35%

13
502
±4.4%

Public Policy Polling
April 19–22, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
35%

14
526
±4.3%

Rasmussen Reports
April 3, 2012

Barack Obama

53%

Rick Santorum
38%

15
500
±4.5%

52%
Mitt Romney
36%

16

Rasmussen Reports
February 14, 2012

Barack Obama

55%
Rick Santorum
37%

18
590
±4.5%

55%
Mitt Romney
36%

19

Three Way race



































Poll source
Date
Democratic candidate
%
Republican candidate
%

Libertarian
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
July 13–16, 2012

Barack Obama

42%
Mitt Romney
38%
Gary Johnson
13%

4
724
±3.64%

Public Policy Polling
April 19–22, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
35%
Gary Johnson
15%

13
526
±4.3%


New York (state)New York[edit]


29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%









































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Siena
August 14–19, 2012

Barack Obama

62%
Mitt Romney
33%

29
671 LV
±3.8%

Siena
July 10–15, 2012

Barack Obama

61%
Mitt Romney
34%

27
758 RV
±3.6%

Siena
June 3–6, 2012

Barack Obama

59%
Mitt Romney
35%

24
807
±3.4%

Quinnipiac
May 22–28, 2012

Barack Obama

56%
Mitt Romney
31%

25
1,504
±2.5%

Siena College
May 6–10, 2012

Barack Obama

57%
Mitt Romney
37%

20
766
±3.5%

NY1/YNN-Marist
April 10–12, 2012

Barack Obama

57%
Mitt Romney
35%

22
632
±4.0%

Siena College
April 1–4, 2012

Barack Obama

65%

Newt Gingrich
29%

36
808
±3.4%

61%

Ron Paul
31%

30

60%
Mitt Romney
35%

25

62%

Rick Santorum
23%

39

Quinnipiac
March 28 – April 2, 2012

Barack Obama

56%
Mitt Romney
33%

23
1,597
±2.5%

59%
Rick Santorum
30%

29

Siena College
February 26–29, 2012

Barack Obama

60%
Mitt Romney
34%

26
808
±3.4%

64%
Rick Santorum
30%

34

62%
Ron Paul
29%

33

66%
Newt Gingrich
27%

39

Quinnipiac
February 8–13, 2012

Barack Obama

52%
Mitt Romney
35%

17
1,233
±2.8%

57%
Newt Gingrich
31%

26

53%
Rick Santorum
35%

18


North CarolinaNorth Carolina[edit]


15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%




















































































































































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

SurveyUSA/HPU/FOX8
August 26–30, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

46%

3
543 RV
±4.3%

Elon University Poll
August 25–30, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

47%

4
1,089 LV
±3%

CNN/TIME/ORC
August 22–26, 2012
Barack Obama
47%

Mitt Romney

48%

1
766 LV
±3.5%

Public Policy Polling
August 2–5, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
813 LV
±3.4%

Civitas
July 16–18, 2012
Barack Obama
48%

Mitt Romney

49%

1
600 RV
±4%

Public Policy Polling
July 5–8, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
46%

1
775
±3.5%

Civitas/SurveyUSA
June 29 – July 1, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

50%

5
558 RV
±4.2%

NBC News/Marist College
June 28, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
44%

2
1208 LV
±3.1%

Rasmussen
June 25, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

47%

3
500
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
June 7–10, 2012
Barack Obama
46%

Mitt Romney

48%

2
810
±3.4%

Survey USA
May 18–21, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

45%

1
524
±4.4%

Rasmussen Reports
May 14, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

51%

8
500
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
May 10–13, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
47%

1
666
±3.8%

Survey USA
April 26–30, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
43%

4
1,636
±2.5%

Rasmussen Reports
April 10, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

46%

2
500
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
April 4–7, 2012

Barack Obama

51%

Newt Gingrich
41%

10
975
±3.1%

48%

Ron Paul
43%

5

49%
Mitt Romney
44%

5

50%

Rick Santorum
44%

6

Public Policy Polling
March 8–11, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Newt Gingrich
42%

9
804
±3.5%

48%
Ron Paul
41%

7

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3

49%
Rick Santorum
44%

5

Public Policy Polling
February 3–5, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Newt Gingrich
45%

5
1,052
±3.5%

47%
Ron Paul
41%

6

47%
Mitt Romney
46%

1

48%
Rick Santorum
46%

2

Civitas Institute
January 9-11, 2012
Barack Obama
39%

Mitt Romney

48%

9
300
±4.0%

Public Policy Polling
January 5–8, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
45%

1
780
±3.5%

49%
Newt Gingrich
43%

6

47%
Ron Paul
41%

6

49%

Rick Perry
41%

8

Barack Obama

46%

Rick Santorum

46%

Tied

Three Way race
























Poll source
Date
Democratic candidate
%
Republican candidate
%

Libertarian
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
May 10–13, 2012

Barack Obama

46%

Mitt Romney
44%

Gary Johnson
6%

2
666
±3.8%


North DakotaNorth Dakota[edit]


3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%






































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

DFM Research (D-ND Dems/NPL)
July 24 – 26, 2012
Barack Obama
35%

Mitt Romney

54%

19
400 LV
±4.9%

Rasmussen Reports
July 10–11, 2012
Barack Obama
36%

Mitt Romney

51%

15
400
±5.0%

Mason-Dixon
June 4–6, 2012
Barack Obama
39%

Mitt Romney

52%

13
625
±4.0%


OhioOhio[edit]


18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
































































































































































































































































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Columbus Dispatch
August 15–25, 2012

Barack Obama

45%

Mitt Romney

45%

Tied
1,758 LV
±2.1%

Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS
August 21, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
44%

6
1,253 LV
±%

University of Cincinnati
August 16–21, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
847 LV
±3.4%

Purple Strategies
August 13–14, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

46%

2
600
±4.0%

Rasmussen Reports
August 13, 2012

Barack Obama

45%

Mitt Romney

45%

Tied
500 LV
±4.5%

Public Policy Polling
August 9–12, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
45%

3
961 LV
±3.2%

Quinnipiac
July 24–30, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
44%

6
1,193 LV
±3.0%

We Ask America
July 24, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
40%

8
1,115
±3.0%

Rasmussen Reports
July 18, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
45%

2
500
±4.5%

Purple Strategies
July 9–13, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
45%

3
600 LV
±4.0%

Quinnipiac
June 19–25, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
38%

9
1,237 RV
±2.8%

PPP
June 21–24, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
44%

3
673
±3.8%

Purple Strategies
May 31 – June 5, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

48%

3
600
±4.0%

Rasmussen Reports
May 29, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

46%

2
500
±4.5%

NBC News/Marist
May 17–20, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
42%

6
1,103RV
±3.0%

Quinnipiac
May 2–7, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
44%

1
1,069
±3.0%

Public Policy Polling
May 3–6, 2012

Barack Obama

48%

Ron Paul
40%

8
875
±3.3%

50%
Mitt Romney
43%

7

Quinnipiac
April 25 – May 1, 2012

Barack Obama

44%
Mitt Romney
42%

2
1,130
±2.9%

Purple Poll
April 19–23, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
44%

5
1,705
±4.1%

Rasmussen Reports
April 18, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
42%

4
500
±4.5%

Fox News
Anderson Robbins
Shaw & Co.
April 15–17, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
39%

6
606
±4.0%

Rasmussen Reports
March 26, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
40%

8
500
±4.5%

47%

Rick Santorum
41%

6

Quinnipiac
March 20–26, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
41%

6
1,246
±2.8%

47%
Rick Santorum
40%

7

NBC News/Marist
February 29 – March 2, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
38%

12
Varies[1]±2.5%

51%

Newt Gingrich
36%

15

48%
Ron Paul
38%

10

50%
Rick Santorum
36%

14

Fox News
February 11–13, 2012
Barack Obama
38%

Mitt Romney

44%

6
505
±4.5%

Barack Obama

43%
Newt Gingrich
37%

6
Barack Obama
40%

Rick Santorum

43%

3
Barack Obama
41%

Ron Paul

42%

1

Quinnipiac
February 7–12, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Newt Gingrich
38%

12
1,421
±2.6%

47%
Rick Santorum
41%

6

46%
Ron Paul
40%

6

46%
Mitt Romney
44%

2

Rasmussen Reports
February 8, 2012

Barack Obama

44%

Rick Santorum

44%

Tied
500
±4.5%

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
41%

4

Public Policy Polling
January 28–29, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Rick Santorum
42%

6
820
±3.4%

51%
Newt Gingrich
39%

12

48%
Ron Paul
38%

10

49%
Mitt Romney
42%

7

Quinnipiac
January 9–16, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Rick Santorum
37%

11
1,610
±2.4%

52%
Newt Gingrich
38%

14

48%
Ron Paul
39%

9

44%
Mitt Romney
42%

2


OklahomaOklahoma[edit]


7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4%
(Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%





























Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

SoonerPoll
July 26 – August 14, 2012
Barack Obama
29%

Mitt Romney

58%

29
495 LV
±4.4%

SoonerPoll
May 7–10, 2012
Barack Obama
27%
Mitt Romney

62%

35
504 LV
±4.4%


OregonOregon[edit]


7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%


















































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

PPP
June 21–24, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
42%

8
686
±3.7%

Survey USA
May 7–10, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
43%

4
1,468
±2.6%

Survey USA
March 14–19, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
39%

11
1,615
±2.5%

54%

Newt Gingrich
34%

20

49%

Rick Santorum
40%

9

48%

Ron Paul
39%

9


PennsylvaniaPennsylvania[edit]


20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%











































































































































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Philadelphia Inquirer
August 21–23, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
42%

9
601 LV
±4%

The Morning Call
August 20–22, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
40%

9
422 LV
±5%

Franklin and Marshall College
August 7–12, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
42%

5
681 RV
±3.8%

Quinnipiac
July 24–30, 2012

Barack Obama

53%
Mitt Romney
42%

11
1,168 LV
±3.0%

Public Policy Polling
July 21–23, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
43%

6
758 RV
±3.6%

Rasmussen
July 18, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
44%

4
500 LV
±4.5%

We Ask America
July 9–10, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
40%

7
1,227 LV
±2.8%

Quinnipiac
June 19–25, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
39%

6
1,252 RV
±2.8%

Quinnipiac
June 5–10, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
40%

6
997
±3.1%

Franklin & Marshall College
May 29 – June 4, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
36%

12
412
±%

Rasmussen Reports
May 23, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
41%

6
500
±4.5%

Quinnipiac
April 25 – May 1, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
39%

8
1,168
±2.9%

Quinnipiac
March 20–26, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
42%

3
1,232
±2.8%

48%

Rick Santorum
41%

7

Public Policy Polling
March 8–11, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
42%

7
689
±4.1%

51%

Newt Gingrich
39%

12

47%

Ron Paul
41%

6

48%
Rick Santorum
46%

2

Quinnipiac
March 7–11, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
40%

6
1,256
±2.8%

50%
Newt Gingrich
37%

13

45%
Ron Paul
40%

5

45%
Rick Santorum
44%

1

Rasmussen Reports
February 8–23, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
44%

1
438
±4.5%

46%
Rick Santorum
40%

6

Muhlenberg College/Morning Call
February 15–21, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
37%

11
625
±4.0%

49%
Rick Santorum
41%

8

Franklin & Marshall College
February 14–20, 2012

Barack Obama

41%
Mitt Romney
33%

8
592
±4.0%

47%
Newt Gingrich
31%

16

41%
Ron Paul
28%

13

45%
Rick Santorum
37%

8

Susquehanna Polling and Research
February 2–6, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

45%

2
800
±3.46%

Barack Obama

47%
Rick Santorum
43%

4


South CarolinaSouth Carolina[edit]


9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%




















Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Reuters/Ipsos
January 10–13, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

46%

6
995
±3.4%


South DakotaSouth Dakota[edit]


3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%




















Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Nielson Brothers
July 19–23, 2012

Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

49%

6
546
±4.19%


TennesseeTennessee[edit]


11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%








































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Vanderbilt University
May 2–9, 2012

Barack Obama
41%

Mitt Romney

42%

1
1,002
±4%

Vanderbilt University
May 2–9, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

47%

7
~752 RV
±4%

Middle TN State University
February 13–25, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Newt Gingrich

45%

4
416
±4.0%
41%

Ron Paul

44%

3
41%

Mitt Romney

47%

6
39%

Rick Santorum

51%

12

Vanderbilt University
February 16–22, 2012

Barack Obama

41%
Newt Gingrich
38%

3
1,508
±2.6%
Barack Obama
39%

Ron Paul

40%

1
39%

Mitt Romney

42%

3
38%

Rick Santorum

42%

4


TexasTexas[edit]


38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%




















































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

University of Texas/Texas Tribune
May 7–13, 2012
Barack Obama
35%

Mitt Romney

55%

20
511
±4.3%

Public Policy Polling
April 19–22, 2012
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

50%

7
491
±4.0
45%

Newt Gingrich

47%

2
43%

Ron Paul

47%

4

University of Texas/Texas Tribune
January 12–15, 2012
Barack Obama
38%

Newt Gingrich

49%

11
Varies[2]Varies
36%

Mitt Romney

49%

13
37%

Rick Santorum

51%

14
35%

Ron Paul

44%

9

Public Policy Polling
January 12–15, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Newt Gingrich
45%

2
700
±3.7%
Barack Obama
40%

Ron Paul

46%

6
47%

Rick Perry

48%

1
42%

Mitt Romney

49%

7
42%

Rick Santorum

49%

7

Three Way race































Poll source
Date
Democratic
%
Republican
%
Other candidates
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling


January 12–15, 2012

Barack Obama
39%

Mitt Romney

47%

Gary Johnson
7%

8
700
±3.7%
Barack Obama
38%

Mitt Romney

40%

Ron Paul*
17%

2
  • – Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.


UtahUtah[edit]


6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%




















Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Dan Jones Associates
June 21, 2012

Barack Obama
26%

Mitt Romney

68%

42
1,222
±2.8%


VermontVermont[edit]


3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%














































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Castleton State College
August 11–21, 2012

Barack Obama

62%
Mitt Romney
25%

37
477 RV
±%

Castleton State College
May 7–16, 2012

Barack Obama

59%
Mitt Romney
28%

31
607
±4.0%

Castleton State College
February 11–22, 2012

Barack Obama

57%
Mitt Romney
31%

26
800
±3.5%

59%

Rick Santorum
30%

29

58%

Ron Paul
28%

30


VirginiaVirginia[edit]


13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%





































































































































































































































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
August 16–19, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
45%

5
855 LV
±3.4%

Purple Strategies
August 13–14, 2012
Barack Obama
45%

Mitt Romney

48%

3
600
±4.0%

Rasmussen Reports
August 7, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
46%

2
500 LV
±4.5%

Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS
July 31 – August 6, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
45%

4
1,412 LV
±%

Rasmussen Reports
July 16–17, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
46%

1
500 LV
±4.5%

Quinnipiac
July 10–16, 2012
Barack Obama
44%
Mitt Romney
44%

Tied
1,673 RV
±2.4%

Purple Strategies
July 9–13, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
44%

2
600 LV
±4.0%

Public Policy Polling
July 5–8, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
42%

8
647
±3.9%

We Ask America
June 25, 2012
Barack Obama
43.3%

Mitt Romney

48.0%

4.7
1,106
±2.95%

ODU/Virginian-Pilot
May 16 – June 15, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
42%

7
776 RV
±3.5%

Purple Strategies
May 31 – June 5, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
600
±4.0%

Quinnipiac
May 30 – June 4, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
42%

5
1,282RV
±2.7%

Rasmussen Reports
June 4, 2012
Barack Obama
47%
Mitt Romney
47%

Tied
500
±4.5%

NBC News/Marist
May 17–20, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
44%

4
1,076 RV
±3.0%

Washington Post
April 28 – May 1, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
44%

7
964
±4%

Public Policy Polling
April 26–29, 2012

Barack Obama

53%

Newt Gingrich
37%

16
680
±3.8%

50%

Ron Paul
39%

11

51%
Mitt Romney
43%

8

Rasmussen Reports
April 23, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

45%

1
500
±4.5

Purple Poll
April 19–23, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
46%

2
1,705
±4.1%

Roanoke College
March 26 – April 5, 2012
Barack Obama
40%

Mitt Romney

46%

6
603
±4%

Quinnipiac
March 13–18, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
42%

8
1,034
±3.1%

54%
Newt Gingrich
35%

19

49%

Rick Santorum
40%

9

49%
Ron Paul
39%

10

NBC News/Marist College
February 29 – March 2, 2012

Barack Obama

52%
Mitt Romney
35%

17
1,273/1,245
±2.8%

57%
Newt Gingrich
31%

26

54%
Rick Santorum
32%

22

53%
Ron Paul
32%

21

Roanoke College
February 13–26, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Newt Gingrich
37%

11
607
±4%

45%
Rick Santorum
39%

6

45%
Ron Paul
35%

10
Barack Obama
42%

Mitt Romney

43%

1

Rasmussen Reports
February 21, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
43%

6
500
±4.5%

51%
Rick Santorum
43%

8

Christopher Newport University
Richmond Times-Dispatch
Muhlenberg College
February 4–13, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Newt Gingrich
40%

5
1,018
±3.1%
Barack Obama
43%

Mitt Romney

46%

2
Barack Obama
42%

Rick Santorum

46%

4

Barack Obama

43%

Ron Paul

43%

Tie

Quinnipiac
February 1–6, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
43%

4
1,544
±2.5%

51%
Newt Gingrich
37%

14

49%
Rick Santorum
41%

8

47%
Ron Paul
40%

7

Quinnipiac
January 16–18, 2012

Barack Obama

45%
Mitt Romney
44%

1
625
±3.9%

49%
Newt Gingrich
38%

11

Three Way race



































Poll source
Date
Democratic
%
Republican
%

Constitution Party
%
Lead margin
Sample size
Margin of error

Public Policy Polling
July 5–8, 2012

Barack Obama

49%

Mitt Romney
35%

Virgil Goode
9%

14
647
±3.9%

Public Policy Polling
April 26–29, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
38%
Virgil Goode
5%

12
680
±3.8%


Washington (state)Washington[edit]


12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%





























































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample size
Margin of error

SurveyUSA
August 2–3, 2012

Barack Obama

54%
Mitt Romney
37%

17
700
±4.4%

SurveyUSA
July 16–18, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
37%

9
630
±4%

Marquette Law School
June 13–16, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
43%

6
594
±4.1%

Rasmussen Reports
June 12, 2012
Barack Obama
44%

Mitt Romney

47%

3
500
±4.5%

We Ask America
June 6, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
43%

5
1,270
±2.75%

Public Policy Polling
June 14–17, 2012

Barack Obama

54%
Mitt Romney
41%

13
1,073
±3.0%

Elway
June 13–16, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
41%

8
408
±5%

SurveyUSA
May 8–9, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
36%

14
557
±4.2%

Public Policy Polling
February 16–19, 2012

Barack Obama

55%

Newt Gingrich
35%

20
1,264
±2.76%

53%
Mitt Romney
38%

15

51%

Ron Paul
38%

13

52%

Rick Santorum
40%

12

Survey USA
February 13–15, 2012

Barack Obama

56%
Newt Gingrich
34%

22
572
±4.2%

50%
Mitt Romney
39%

11

50%
Ron Paul
37%

13

51%
Rick Santorum
38%

13


West VirginiaWest Virginia[edit]


5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%





























Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample size
Margin of error

R.L. Repass
August 22–25, 2012
Barack Obama
38%

Mitt Romney

52%

14
401 LV
±4.9%

R.L. Repass
April 25–28, 2012
Barack Obama
37%

Mitt Romney

54%

17
410
±4.8%


WisconsinWisconsin[edit]


10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%



























































































































































































































































































Poll source
Date administered
Democrat
%
Republican
%
Lead margin
Sample size
Margin of error

Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS
August 15–21, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
47%

2
1,190 LV
±3%

Marquette University
August 16–19, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
576 LV
±4.2%

Public Policy Polling
August 16–19, 2012
Barack Obama
47%

Mitt Romney

48%

1
1,308 LV
±2.7%

Rasmussen Reports
August 15, 2012
Barack Obama
47%

Mitt Romney

48%

1
500 LV
±4.5%

CNN
August 13–14, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
45%

4
920 RV
±3.0%

Quinnipiac
July 31 – August 6, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
45%

6
1,691
±3.0%

Rasmussen Reports
July 25, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
46%

3
500
±4.5%

We Ask America
July 17–18, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
42%

7
1,162
±2.93%

Marquette Law School
July 5–8, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
43%

8
810
±3.5%

Public Policy Polling
July 5–8, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
44%

6
1,057
±3.3%

Marquette Law School
May 23–26, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
43%

8
600
±%

St. Norbery College
May 17–22, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
43%

6
406
±5.0%

Daily Kos Wisconsin Poll
May 11–13, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
46%

1
851
±3.4%

Marquette Law School
May 9–12, 2012
Barack Obama
46%
Mitt Romney
46%

Tied
600
±4.1%

Rasmussen Reports
May 9, 2012

Barack Obama

49%
Mitt Romney
45%

4
500
±4.5%

Marquette University
April 26–29, 2012

Barack Obama

51%
Mitt Romney
42%

9
705
±3.8%

Public Policy Polling
April 13–15, 2012

Barack Obama

50%
Mitt Romney
44%

6
1,136
±2.9%

NBC News/Marist College
March 22–25, 2012

Barack Obama

52%
Mitt Romney
35%

17
1,391–1400
±2.6%

51%

Rick Santorum
38%

13

56%

Newt Gingrich
31%

25

51%

Ron Paul
36%

15

Rasmussen Reports
March 27, 2012

Barack Obama

52%
Mitt Romney
41%

11
500
±4.5%

51%
Rick Santorum
39%

12

Marquette University
March 22–25, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
43%

5
707
±3.7%

51%
Rick Santorum
39%

12

53%
Newt Gingrich
36%

17

50%
Ron Paul
40%

10

Rasmussen Reports
February 27, 2012

Barack Obama

47%
Mitt Romney
42%

5
500
±4.5%

46%
Rick Santorum
41%

5

Public Policy Polling
February 23–26, 2012

Barack Obama

55%
Newt Gingrich
37%

18
900
±3.27%

53%
Ron Paul
37%

16

53%
Mitt Romney
39%

14

49%
Rick Santorum
43%

6

Marquette University
February 16–19, 2012

Barack Obama

53%
Mitt Romney
38%

15
716
±3.7%

51%
Rick Santorum
40%

11

56%
Newt Gingrich
33%

23

52%
Ron Paul
36%

16

Marquette University
January 19–22, 2012

Barack Obama

48%
Mitt Romney
40%

8
701
±3.8%

Three Way race
























Poll source
Date
Democratic candidate
%
Republican candidate
%

Libertarian
%
Lead margin
Sample Size
Margin of error

Reason-Rupe
May 14–18, 2012

Barack Obama

46%
Mitt Romney
36%
Gary Johnson
6%
10
708
±3.7%


See also[edit]


  • Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012

  • Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012

  • Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2012 presidential primaries

  • Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012

  • Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

  • Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012


Notes[edit]




  1. ^ The sample size for Obama vs Romney was 1,573, the sample size for Obama vs Gingrich was 1,573, the sample size for Obama vs Paul was 1,505 and the sample size for Obama vs Santorum was 1,505


  2. ^ The sample size for Obama vs Gingrich was 527 with an MoE of ±4.27%, the sample size for Obama vs Romney was 529 with an MoE of ±4.26%, the sample size for Obama vs Santorum was 529 with an MoE of ±4.26% and the sample size for Obama vs Paul was 529 with an MoE of ±4.26%











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