Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012

United States President Election Polling, 2012
	;
; Leading Presidential 2012 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than August 1, 2012 (and no more recent polls are available).
	; ;
	; ; ; Barack Obama; 218; ; ; Mitt Romney; 183; ; ; Difference within the margin of error; 130; ; ; No data* 13; ; (270 electoral votes needed to win); ; * 2 of Maine's congressional electoral votes and 2 of Nebraska's congressional electoral votes have not been polled.; ; Light shading indicates old polling data.; ;
; Incumbent before election; Barack Obama; Democratic; ;	; President-elect ; Barack Obama; Democratic; ;

This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama. The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Also included are three- and four-way race polls with the Republican and Democratic nominees against various third party candidates.

1 Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney
- 1.1 Alabama
- 1.2 Alaska
- 1.3 Arizona
- 1.4 Arkansas
- 1.5 California
- 1.6 Colorado
- 1.7 Connecticut
- 1.8 Delaware
- 1.9 District of Columbia
- 1.10 Florida
- 1.11 Georgia
- 1.12 Hawaii
- 1.13 Idaho
- 1.14 Illinois
- 1.15 Indiana
- 1.16 Iowa
- 1.17 Kansas
- 1.18 Kentucky
- 1.19 Louisiana
- 1.20 Maine
- 1.21 Maryland
- 1.22 Massachusetts
- 1.23 Michigan
- 1.24 Minnesota
- 1.25 Mississippi
- 1.26 Missouri
- 1.27 Montana
- 1.28 Nebraska
- 1.29 Nevada
- 1.30 New Hampshire
- 1.31 New Jersey
- 1.32 New Mexico
- 1.33 New York
- 1.34 North Carolina
- 1.35 North Dakota
- 1.36 Ohio
- 1.37 Oklahoma
- 1.38 Oregon
- 1.39 Pennsylvania
- 1.40 Rhode Island
- 1.41 South Carolina
- 1.42 South Dakota
- 1.43 Tennessee
- 1.44 Texas
- 1.45 Utah
- 1.46 Vermont
- 1.47 Virginia
- 1.48 Washington
- 1.49 West Virginia
- 1.50 Wisconsin
- 1.51 Wyoming

2 See also

3 External links

Opinion polling: Obama vs Romney[edit]

Sample size key:

LV – Likely Voters

RV – Registered Voters.

Poll source key

(R) – Source polls normally for Republicans

(D) – Source polls normally for Democrats

Alabama[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

Alaska[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–35%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–37%

No polls conducted

Arizona[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
PPP	November 2–3, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	53%	7	1,080 LV	±3%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	52%	8	702 LV	±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports	October 21, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	52%	8	500 LV	±4.5%
YouGov	October 4–11, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	52%	9	469 LV	±5.4%
Rocky Mountain Poll	October 4–10, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	42%	2	523 LV	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	October 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	53%	9	595 LV	±4.0%
M.Info/HighGround Public Affairs Consulting (R)	September 25–26, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	500 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	September 25, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	52%	10	500 LV	±4.5%
Purple Strategies	September 15–19, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	600 LV	±4.0%
YouGov	September 7–14, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	51%	10	628 LV	±%
Public Policy Polling	September 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	53%	9	993	±3.1%

Arkansas[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
The Arkansas Poll	October 9–14, 2012	Barack Obama	31%	Mitt Romney	58%	27	642 LV	±4.0%
Talk Business Poll	September 17, 2012	Barack Obama	35%	Mitt Romney	56%	21	2.228 LV	±2.0%

California[edit]

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	40%	15	1,575 LV	±--%
Field Research	October 17–30, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	39%	15	1,566 LV	±2.6%
Pepperdine University	October 21–28, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	33%	23	2,115 LV	±3%
USC	October 15–21, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	38%	17	1,504 RV	±--%
PPIC	October 14–21, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	41%	12	993 LV	±4.0%
Reason-Rupe	October 11–15, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	38%	15	508 LV	±5.1%
CBRT/Pepperdine/M4	October 7–10, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	33%	21	830 LV	±3.4%
SurveyUSA	October 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	39%	14	539 LV	±4.3%
Field/UC Berkeley	September 5 – 17, 2012	Barack Obama	58%	Mitt Romney	34%	24	1,171 RV	±3.4%
PPIC	September 9 – 16, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	39%	14	995 LV	±4.4%
YouGov	September 7 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	39%	17	1,361 LV	±--%
CBRT/Pepperdine/M4	September 9–12, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	33%	22	802LV	±3.5%
SurveyUSA	September 9–11, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	35%	22	524LV	±4.3%

Colorado[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Reuters/Ipsos	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	774 LV	±4%
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	46%	6	1,096 LV	±3%
Keating Research	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	603 LV	±4%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	676 LV	±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	973 LV	±3.6%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	752 LV	±4.1%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 31 – November 2, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	46%	Tied	1,052 LV	±3.4%
Public Policy Polling	October 31 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	825 LV	±-%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	694 LV	±4.2%
Survey USA	October 28–31, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	695 LV	±3.8%
CNN/ORC Poll	October 26–31, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	48%	2	764 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	744 LV	±4.1%
We Ask America	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	1,246 LV	±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports	October 29, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	50%	3	500 LV	±4.5%
Project New America	October 28–29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	500 LV	±4.4%
American Research Group	October 25–28, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	600 LV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	October 23–25, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	904 LV	±3.3%
Purple Strategies	October 23–25, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	600 LV	±4.0%
OnSight Public Affairs	October 23–24, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	502 LV	±4.4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	October 23–24, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	1,128 LV	±2.9%
Project New America	October 23–24, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3	500 LV	±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	50%	4	500 LV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	October 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	500 LV	±4.0%
Project New America	October 15–16, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	500 LV	±4.4%
We Ask America	October 15, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,206 LV	±2.9%
Gravis Marketing	October 5–11, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	2,089 LV	±2.2%
Denver Post/SurveyUSA	October 9–10, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	614 LV	±4.0%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	October 4–9, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,254 LV	±3.0%
American Research Group	October 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	50%	4	600 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 7, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	500 LV	±4.5%
University Of Denver	October 4–5, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4	604 LV	±4.0%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)	September 30 – October 2, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	50%	4	300 LV	±5.7%
We Ask America	September 25 – 27, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,273 LV	±2.8%
Public Policy Polling	September 20–23, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	940 LV	±3.2%
Purple Strategies	September 15 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	600 LV	±4.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	971 LV	±3.1%
Rasmussen Reports	September 17, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	September 11–17, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	1,497 LV	±2.5%
American Research Group	September 10–12, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
Project New America	September 10–11, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	503 LV	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	August 31 – September 2, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,001 LV	±3.1%

Three way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	September 20–23, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	Gary Johnson	4%	6	740	±3.2%

Connecticut[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	39%	15	895 LV	±3.6%
Public Policy Polling	November 1 – 2, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	42%	13	1,220 LV	±2.8%
Quinnipiac	October 19–22, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	41%	14	1,412 LV	±2.6%
Rasmussen Reports	October 21, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	45%	7	500 LV	±4.5%
SurveyUSA	October 19–21, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	40%	13	575 LV	±4.2%
Public Policy Polling	October 15–16, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	44%	9	1,015 LV	±3.1%
University of Connecticut/Hartford Courant	October 11–16, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	37%	14	574 LV	±4.0%
Siena	October 4–14, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	38%	15	552 LV	±4.2%
YouGov	October 4–11, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	39%	14	434 LV	±5.5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 7, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	500 LV	±4.5%
Quinnipiac	September 28 – October 2, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	42%	12	1,696 LV	±2.4%
Public Policy Polling	September 24 – 26, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	41%	13	801 LV	±3.5%
UConn/Hartford Courant	September 11 – 16, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	32%	21	508 LV	±4.4%
YouGov	September 7 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	40%	13	634 LV	±--%

Delaware[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

No polls conducted

District of Columbia[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 89%–9%
(Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	October 12–14, 2012	Barack Obama	88%	Mitt Romney	8%	80	1,222 LV	±2.8%

Florida[edit]

29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing	November 4–5, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tied	1,060 LV	±3.1%
Zogby/Newsmax	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	47.8%	Mitt Romney	47.7%	0.1	876 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	769 LV	±4%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	43%	7	1,197 RV	±3.2%
Insider Advantage	November 4, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	52%	5	437 LV	±4.5%
PPP	November 3–4, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	955 LV	±3.2%
Zogby/Newsmax	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	50.4%	Mitt Romney	45.2%	5.2	826 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	46%	Tied	743 LV	±4.1%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	1,107 RV	±3.4%
Zogby/Newsmax	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	46.9%	Mitt Romney	49.2%	2.3	823 LV	±3.5%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tied	525 LV	±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	946 LV	±3.6%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	42%	4	1,257 RV	±3.2%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,621 LV	±3%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 31 – November 2, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	985 LV	±3.6%
Mellman Group	October 30 – November 2, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	800 LV	±3.4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	1,545 LV	±2.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	897 LV	±3.7%
Mason Dixon	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	51%	6	800 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	716 LV	±4.2%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	963 RV	±4%
We Ask America	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	48.9%	Mitt Romney	49.8%	0.9	1,146 LV	±3%
Gravis Marketing	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	50%	3	549 LV	±4.2%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 28–30, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	825 LV	±3.5%
Pulse Opinion Research	October 29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	50%	2	1,000 LV	±3%
Grove Insight	October 28–29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	600 LV	±4%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 27–29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	828 LV	±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 26–28, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	827 LV	±3.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 26–28, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	687 LV	±3.7%
CNN/Opinion Research	October 25–28, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	50%	1	770 LV	±3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research	October 25–28, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	46%	6	914 RV	±3%
CBS/Quinnipiac University	October 23–28, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	1,073 LV	±3%
SurveyUSA	October 25–27, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	595 LV/AV	±4.1%
Mellman Group	October 24–27, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	800 LV	±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 25, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	50%	2	750 LV	±4.0%
Gravis Marketing	October 24, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	50%	1	1,182 LV	±2.8%
Project New America	October 23–24, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
Sunshine State News	October 22–24, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	51%	5	1,001 LV	±3.1%
Pharos Research	October 19–21, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	759 LV	±3.56%
Mellman	October 18–21, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	800 LV	±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	October 18–20, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	51%	5	502 LV	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 18, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	51%	5	750 LV	±4.0%
CNN	October 17–18, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	681 LV	±4.0%
JZ Analytics/Newsmax	October 15–17, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4	841 LV	±--%
Newsmax/Zogby	October 14–16, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	828 LV	±n/a
Public Policy Polling	October 12–14, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	791 LV	±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 11, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	51%	4	750 LV	±4.0%
American Research Group	October 8–11, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	49%	3	600 LV	±4.0%
Mason-Dixon	October 8–10, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	51%	7	800 LV	±3.5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	October 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	988	±3.1%
UNF Poll	October 1–9, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	790	±3.5%
We Ask America	October 4, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	49%	3	1,200 LV	±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 4, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	49%	2	500 LV	±4.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	September 29 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	1,191 LV	±3.3%
Gravis Marketing	September 29 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	914 LV	±3.4%
InsiderAdvantage	September 24, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	540 LV	±4.0%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	September 18 – 24, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	44%	9	1,196 LV	±3.0%
Washington Post	September 19–23, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	769 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	September 20–23, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	861 LV	±3.3%
American Research Group	September 20–22, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	600 LV	±4%
Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon	September 17–19, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	800 LV	±3.5%
Purple Strategies	September 15 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	600 LV	±4.0%
We Ask America	September 18, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,230 LV	±2.82%
FOX NEWS Poll	September 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	829 LV	±3.0%
Gravis Marketing	September 15–16, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,728 LV	±2.5%
Rasmussen Reports	September 12, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 9–11, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	980 LV	±3.1%
Mclaughlin & Associates (R)	September 9–10, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	50%	3	600 LV	±4.0%
SurveyUSA	September 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	596 LV	±4.1%
Gravis Marketing	September 2, 2012	Barack Obama	46.7%	Mitt Romney	48%	1.3	1,288 LV	±2.7%
Public Policy Polling	August 31 – September 2, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	1,548 LV	±2.5%

Georgia[edit]

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	52%	8	1,070 LV	±3.5%
Insight, LLC	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	52%	6	1,316 LV	±2.7%
SurveyUSA	October 25–28, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	52%	8	574 LV	±4.2%
Abt SRBI Inc/Atlanta Journal-Constitution	October 8–11, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	51%	8	706 LV	±5.0%
Insider Advantage	September 18, 2012	Barack Obama	35%	Mitt Romney	56%	21	483 LV	±4.5%
YouGov	September 7 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	51%	7	1,020 LV	±--%

Hawaii[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Merriman River Group	October 24–26, 2012	Barack Obama	61%	Mitt Romney	34%	27	1,218	±2.8%
Honolulu Civil Beat/MRG	September 26–28, 2012	Barack Obama	62%	Mitt Romney	30%	32	1,648	±2.4%

Idaho[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 68%–30%
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Mason-Dixon	October 8–10, 2012	Barack Obama	27%	Mitt Romney	63%	36	625 LV	±4%

Illinois[edit]

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	38%	19	1,126 LV	±3.3%
We Ask America	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	41%	16	1,198 LV	±2.95%
YouGov	October 4–11, 2012	Barack Obama	58%	Mitt Romney	38%	20	850 LV	±3.9%
Chicago Tribune/WGN	October 4–8, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	36%	19	700 RV	±3.7%
YouGov	September 7–14, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	36%	23	1,086	±--%
We Ask America	September 5, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	37%	17	1,382	±2.8%

Indiana[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	51%	7	768 LV	±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports	November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	52%	9	600 LV	±4.0%
DePauw University	October 28–30, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	51%	10	800 LV	±3.5%
Pharos Research	October 26–28, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	55%	13	753 LV	±3.5%
McLaughlin	October 24–25, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	55%	14	600 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 10–11, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	54%	13	600 LV	±4.0%
Howey-Depauw	September 19–23, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	52%	12	800 LV	±3.5%
YouGov	September 7–14, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	50%	5	628	±4.0%

Iowa[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	48%	2	1,122 LV	±2.9%
American Research Group	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	600 LV	±4%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	1,040 LV	±3.5%
Grove Insight	November 1–2, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	500 LV	±4.4%
Des Moines Register	October 30 – November 2, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5	800 LV	±3.5%
Gravis Marketing	November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	594 LV	±4.0%
Mellman Group	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
We Ask America	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	48.8%	Mitt Romney	47.3%	1.5	1,174 LV	±3%
Rasmussen Reports	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	750 LV	±4%
Public Policy Polling	October 29–30, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	676 LV	±3.8%
NBC/Marist College	October 28–29, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	1,142 LV	±3%
University of Iowa	October 18–27, 2012	Barack Obama	44.4%	Mitt Romney	45.2%	0.8	320 LV	±5.6%
Gravis Marketing	October 24, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	517 LV	±4.3%
Public Policy Polling	October 23–24, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	690 LV	±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 21, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 18–19, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	660 LV	±3.8%
Public Policy Polling	October 17–19, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	869 LV	±3.3%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	October 15–17, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8	1,137 LV	±2.9%
We Ask America	October 15, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,499 LV	±2.6%
American Research Group	October 11–14, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	600 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 7, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
We Ask America	September 25–27, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	1,064 LV	±3.1%
Public Policy Polling	September 24–26, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	754 LV	±3.6%
American Research Group	September 20 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	600 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	September 19, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	500 LV	±4.5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	42%	8	898 LV	±3.3%

Kansas[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Kentucky[edit]

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Survey USA	September 11–13, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	53%	14	606 LV	±4.1%

Louisiana[edit]

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Magellan Strategies	October 2 – 4, 2012	Barack Obama	36.2%	Mitt Romney	58.8%	22.6	2,682 LV	±1.9%
Clarus Research	September 5 – 7, 2012	Barack Obama	37%	Mitt Romney	53%	16	602 LV	±4.0%

Maine[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Maine People's Resource Center	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	53.3%	Mitt Romney	42.2%	11.1	905 LV	±3.26%
Public Policy Polling	November 1–2, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	42%	13	1,633 LV	±2.4%
Critical Insights	October 30–31, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	613 LV	±4%
Pan Atlantic SMS	September 24–28, 2012	Barack Obama	50.8%	Mitt Romney	36.8%	14	400 LV	±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports	September 25, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	40%	12	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	September 17–18, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	39%	16	804 LV	±3.5%

Maryland[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 56%–43%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	37%	22	705 LV	±4.1%
OpinionWorks	October 20 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	36%	19	801 LV	±3.5%
Washington Post	October 11 – 15, 2012	Barack Obama	60%	Mitt Romney	36%	24	843 LV	±4.0%
YouGov	October 4 – 11, 2012	Barack Obama	58%	Mitt Romney	37%	21	498 LV	±5.2%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies	September 17–23, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	36%	19	813	±3.5%

Massachusetts[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
University of Massachusetts	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	37%	20	800 LV	±4.1%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	37%	20	811 LV	±3.6%
Public Policy Polling	November 1 – 2, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	42%	15	1,089 LV	±3%
West New England University	October 26 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	58%	Mitt Romney	40%	18	535 LV	±4%
Suffolk	October 25 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	63%	Mitt Romney	31%	32	600 LV	±4.0%
Boston Globe/UNH	October 24 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	38%	14	583 LV	±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports	October 25, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	40%	19	500 LV	±4.5%
MassINC/WBUR	October 21 – 22, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	36%	20	516 LV	±4.4%
Kimball Political Consulting^{[permanent dead link]}	October 18 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	39%	16	761 LV	±3.48%
Public Policy Polling	October 15 – 16, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	39%	18	709 LV	±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 10, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	42%	15	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 9 – 10, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	41%	14	1,051 LV	±3.0%
UMass Amherst	October 2 – 8, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	34%	21	437 LV	±5.4%
MassINC/WBUR	October 5 – 7, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	36%	16	501 LV	±4.4%
W.N.E. University	September 28 – October 4, 2012	Barack Obama	63%	Mitt Romney	33%	30	516 RV	±4.3%
WBUR	September 26 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	60%	Mitt Romney	32%	28	504 LV	±4.4%
Boston Globe/UNH	September 21 – 27, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	30%	27	502 LV	±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports	September 24, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	40%	15	500 LV	±4.5%
UMass Lowell/Herald	September 13 – 17, 2012	Barack Obama	60%	Mitt Romney	36%	24	497 LV	±5.5%
Public Policy Polling	September 13 – 16, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	39%	18	876 LV	±3.3%
Suffolk University	September 13 – 16, 2012	Barack Obama	64%	Mitt Romney	31%	33	600 LV	±4.0%
WNEU/MassLive.com	September 6 – 13, 2012	Barack Obama	60%	Mitt Romney	38%	22	444 LV	±4.6%
Kimball Political Consulting	September 7 – 9, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	40%	16	756 LV	±3.5%

Michigan[edit]

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Mitchell Research	November 4, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	1,305 LV	±2.7%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	November 1 – 3, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	47%	5	502 LV	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	November 1 – 3, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	46%	6	700 LV	±3.7%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	1,091 LV	±3.3%
Baydoun Foster	November 2, 2012	Barack Obama	46.24%	Mitt Romney	46.86%	0.62	1,913 LV	±2.24%
Rasmussen Reports	November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	47%	5	750 LV	±4%
Grove Insight	October 31 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	41%	7	500 LV	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	October 31 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	46%	6	500 LV	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	October 30–31, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	45%	8	500 LV	±4.4%
Glengarriff Group	October 27–29, 2012	Barack Obama	47.7%	Mitt Romney	45%	2.7	600 LV	±4%
EPIC-MRA	October 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6	600 LV	±4%
Baydoun Consulting	October 22–23, 2012	Barack Obama	46.92%	Mitt Romney	46.56%	0.36	1,122 LV	±2.9%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	October 18–20, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	43%	9	551 LV	±4.2%
EPIC-MRA	October 17, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	46%	6	800 LV	±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 11, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	45%	7	500 LV	±4.5%
Detroit News	October 6 – 8, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	600 LV	±4.0%
Gravis Marketing	October 5 – 8, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2	1,122 LV	±3.2%
EPIC-MRA	October 4 – 6, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	600 LV	±4.0%
FMWB (D)	October 5, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,122 LV	±2.93%
We Ask America	September 25 – 27, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	40%	12	1,064 LV	±3.1%
Gravis Marketing	September 21 – 22, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	804 LV	±3.3%
Rasmussen Reports	September 20, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	42%	12	500 LV	±4.5%
CNN/ORC Poll	September 14–18, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	44%	8	754 LV	±3.5%
Detroit News	September 15–17, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	38%	14	600 LV	±4%
Marketing Resource Group (R)	September 10–14, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6	600 LV	±4.0%
FMWB (D)	September 12, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	1,156 LV	±2.88%
EPIC-MRA	September 8–10, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	37%	10	600 LV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	August 31 – September 2, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	815 LV	±3.4%

Minnesota[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	November 2–3, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	45%	8	1,164 LV	±2.9%
Survey USA	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	41%	11	556 LV	±4.2%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	43%	7	790 LV	±3.8%
Public Policy Polling	October 31 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	44%	9	772 LV	±-%
NMB Research	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	500 LV	±4.38%
Survey USA	October 26–28, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	43%	7	574 LV	±4.2%
Mason Dixon	October 23–25, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	800 LV	±3.5%
St. Cloud State University	October 15–21, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	45%	8	601 LV	±5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 21, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	500 LV	±4.5%
Survey USA	October 12 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	40%	10	550 LV	±4.3%
YouGov	October 4 – 11, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	44%	8	683 LV	±4.2%
NMB Research (R)	October 7 – 8, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4	500 LV	±4.38%
Public Policy Polling	October 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	43%	10	937 LV	±3.2%
The ST Minnesota/Mason-Dixon	September 10–11, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	824	±3.4%
SurveyUSA	September 6–9, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	40%	10	N/A	±4.3%

Mississippi[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Missouri[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	November 2–3, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	53%	8	835 LV	±3.4%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	53%	11	779 LV	±3.8%
Survey USA	October 28 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	50%	7	589 LV	±4.1%
We Ask America	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	42.2%	Mitt Romney	53.8%	11.6	1,217 LV	±2.9%
Mason-Dixon	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	54%	13	624 LV	±4%
Public Policy Polling	October 19 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	52%	6	582 LV	±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports	October 12 – 13, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	54%	11	500 LV	±4.5%
Wenzel Strategies	October 12 – 13, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	55%	14	1,000 LV	±3.07%
Public Policy Polling	October 1 – 3, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	51%	6	700 LV	±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 2, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	49%	3	500 LV	±4.5%
We Ask America	September 25 – 27, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	1,145 LV	±2.9%
Chilenski Strategies/Missouri Scout	September 20, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	50%	6	817 LV	±3.4%
YouGov	September 7 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	50%	7	734 LV	±--%
Rasmussen Reports	September 11, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	500 LV	±4.5%

Montana[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	November 2–3, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	52%	7	836 LV	±3.4%
Mason Dixon	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	53%	10	625 LV	±4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 29, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	53%	10	500 LV	±4.5%
Pharos Research Group	October 26 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	42.7%	Mitt Romney	50.4%	7.7	799 LV	±3.5%
Pharos Research Group	October 19 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	48%	7	828 LV	±3.4%
Public Policy Polling	October 15 – 16, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	53%	10	806 LV	±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 14, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	53%	8	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 8 – 10, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	52%	11	737 LV	±3.6%
Mellman (D-JET PAC)	September 23 – 26, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	48%	4	600 LV	±4.0%
Mason Dixon	September 19, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	51%	9	625 RV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	September 10–11, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	50%	5	956 LV	±3.8%

Three way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Mason Dixon	September 19, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	51%	Gary Johnson	2%	9

Nebraska[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
We Ask America	November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	54%	13	1,178 LV	±2.95%
Pharos Research Group	October 26 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	58%	19	761 LV	±3.5%
Wiese Research	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	52%	14	800 LV	±3.5%
Pharos Research Group	October 19 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	51%	10	783 LV	±3.5%
Wiese Research	September 17 – 20, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	51%	11	800 LV	±3.5%

2nd Congressional District

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Wiese Research	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	49%	5	679 LV	±3.8%
Pharos Research Group	October 19 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	N/A	N/A
Wiese Research	September 17 – 20, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	44%	Tied

Nevada[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	750 LV	±3.6%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	732 LV	±4.1%
Mellman Group	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	600 LV	±4%
SurveyUSA	October 23–29, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	1,212 LV	±2.9%
Grove Insight	October 27–28, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	500 LV	±4.4%
Gravis Marketing	October 24, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	955 LV	±3.2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	October 23–24, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	1,042 LV	±3%
Public Policy Polling	October 22–24, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	636 LV	±3.9%
Rasmussen Reports	October 23, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	48%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
American Research Group	October 19 – 22, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
Project New America	October 15–16, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	43%	7	500 LV	±4.4%
SurveyUSA/Las Vegas RJ	October 11–15, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	806 LV	±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 15, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	500 LV	±4.5%
YouGov	October 4 – 11, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	358 LV	±6.7%
Public Policy Polling	October 8–10, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	594 LV	±4%
Suffolk University	October 6–9, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	500 LV	±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 8, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	500 LV	±4.5%
Gravis Marketing	October 3, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,006 LV	±3.1%
We Ask America	September 25 – 27, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	42%	11	1,152 LV	±3.1%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	984 LV	±3.1%
American Research Group	September 20 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	600 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	September 20, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	September 18 – 20, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	43%	9	501 LV	±4.4%
CNN/ORC Poll	September 14–18, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	741 LV	±3.5%

Three way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic candidate	%	Republican candidate	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
WeAskAmerica	September 27-27, 2012	Barack Obama	52.5%	Mitt Romney	42%	Gary Johnson	2.3%	10.5	1,152	±3.1%

New Hampshire[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
New England College	November 3–4, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	687 LV	±3.7%
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	48%	2	1,550 LV	±2.5%
ARG	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tied	600 LV	±4%
University of New Hampshire	November 1–4, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	789 LV	±3.5%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4	690 LV	±4.1%
University of New Hampshire	October 31 – November 2, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	502 LV	±4.4%
Gravis Marketing	November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	497 LV	±4.3%
New England College	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	1,017 LV	±3.7%
NBC/Marist College	October 28–29, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	1,013 LV	±3%
Public Policy Polling	October 26 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	874 LV	±3.3%
Lake Research	October 24 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5	400 LV	±5%
Grove Insight/Project New America (D)	October 24 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	500 LV	±4.4%
New England College	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	571 LV	±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports	October 23, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	50%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
American Research Group	October 19 – 22, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	49%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
Lake Research	October 18 – 22, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	400 LV	±4.9%
UNH	October 17 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	42%	9	773 LV	±3.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 17 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	1,036 LV	±3.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 15, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	500 LV	±4.5%
Suffolk University	October 12 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	500 LV	±4.4%
American Research Group	October 9 – 11, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	50%	4	600 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 9, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	500 LV	±4.5%
UNH/WMUR	September 30 – October 6, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	41%	6	638	±4.1%
UNH/WMUR	September 27 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	39%	15	638	±4.0%
American Research Group	September 25 – 27, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	600 LV	±4.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	1,012	±3.1%
GQR (D-NH Democratic Party)	September 15 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	45%	7	600	±4.9%
Rasmussen Reports	September 18, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	500 LV	±4.5%
American Research Group	September 15–17, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	463 LV	±%
UNH/WMUR	September 4–10, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	40%	5	592 LV	±4.0%

New Jersey[edit]

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	41%	12	987 LV	±3.4%
Philadelphia Inquirer/National Research (R)/GSG (D)	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	41%	10	601 LV	±4.0%
Quinnipiac University	October 10 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8	1,319 LV	±2.7%
Philadelphia Inquirer/National Research (R)/GSG (D)	October 4 – 8, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	40%	11	604 LV	±4.0%
Rutgers-Eagleton	September 27 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	39%	17	645 LV	±3.8%
Monmouth University	September 19 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	37%	15	613 LV	±4.0%
YouGov	September 7 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	40%	12	1,040 LV	±--%
Philadelphia Inquirer	September 9–12, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	37%	14	600 LV	±4.0%
Quinnipiac	August 27 – September 2, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	1,471 LV	±2.6%

New Mexico[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	650 LV	±--%
Public Opinion Strategies	October 30–31, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	41%	8	500 LV	±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal	October 23–25, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	41%	9	662 LV	±3.8%
Public Policy Polling	October 23–24, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	44%	9	727 LV	±n/a%
Albuquerque Journal	October 9–11, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	39%	10	658 LV	±3.8%
Rasmussen Reports	October 8, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	43%	11	500 LV	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	September 27, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	40%	11	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	September 17 – 20, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	43%	9	3,111 LV	±1.8%
Public Policy Polling	September 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	42%	11	1,122 LV	±2.9%
The Albuquerque Journal	September 3–6, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	40%	5	667 LV	±3.8%

Three way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Opinion Strategies	October 30–31, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	41%	Gary Johnson	6%	8	500 LV	±4.38%
Albuquerque Journal	October 23–25, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	41%	Gary Johnson	5%	9	662 LV	±3.8%
Albuquerque Journal	October 9–11, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	39%	Gary Johnson	6%	10	658 LV	±3.8%
WeAskAmerica	September 3–6, 2012	Barack Obama	50.9%	Mitt Romney	40.6%	Gary Johnson	3.9%	10.3	1,258 LV	±2.58%
The Albuquerque Journal	September 3–6, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	40%	Gary Johnson	7%	5	667 LV	±3.8%

New York[edit]

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	36%	23	1,430 LV	±2.8%
SurveyUSA	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	62%	Mitt Romney	33%	29	554 LV	±4.1%
Siena	October 22 – 24, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	35%	24	750 LV	±3.6%
Marist	October 18 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	61%	Mitt Romney	35%	26	565 LV	±4.1%
YouGov	October 4 – 11, 2012	Barack Obama	59%	Mitt Romney	35%	24	1,142 LV	±3.2%
Quinnipiac	September 4–9, 2012	Barack Obama	62%	Mitt Romney	34%	28	1,486 LV	±2.5%

North Carolina[edit]

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing	November 4, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	50%	4	1,130 LV	±2.9%
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tied	926 LV	±3.2%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	49%	2	1,500 LV	±2.8%
Public Policy Polling	October 29 – 31, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tied	730 LV	±3.6%
High Point University	October 22–30, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	403 LV	±5%
Survey USA	October 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	50%	5	682 LV	±3.8%
Elon University	October 21 – 26, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	45%	Tied	1,238 LV	±2.79%
Grove Insight/Project New America (D)	October 23 – 24, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	500 LV	±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 25, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	52%	6	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	880 LV	±3.3%
Gravis Marketing	October 24, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	53%	8	1,723 LV	±2.4%
Civitas Institute	October 20–21, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	600 LV	±4%
Grove Insight/Project New America (D)	October 17 – 18, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	500 LV	±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 17, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	52%	6	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 12 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	49%	2	1,084 LV	±3.0%
High Point University/UNC	September 29 – October 10, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	605 RV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 9, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	51%	3	500 LV	±4.5%
Gravis Marketing	October 6–8, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	50%	9	1,325 LV	±2.9%
Rasmussen Reports	October 2, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	51%	4	500 LV	±4.5%
Survey USA	September 29 – October 1, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	573 LV	±4.2%
American Research Group	September 28 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	50%	4	600 LV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	September 27 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	981 LV	±3.1%
Civitas Institute (R)	September 18–19, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	600 LV	±4%
Purple Strategist	September 15–19, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	600 LV	±4%
HPU/FOX8 Poll	September 8–13, 15–18, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3	448 RV	±4.7%
Rasmussen Reports	September 13, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	51%	6	500 RV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	September 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,087 LV	±3.0%
Civitas/SurveyUSA	September 4–6, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	53%	10	500 RV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	August 31 – Sept 2, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	1,012 LV	±3.1%

North Dakota[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 63%–36%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Mason Dixon	October 26 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	54%	14	625 LV	±4%
Pharos Research	October 26 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	37.8%	Mitt Romney	54.6%	16.8	752 LV	±3.6%
Pharos Research	October 19 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	39.3%	Mitt Romney	49.4%	10.1	807 LV	±3.44%
Rasmussen Reports	October 17 – 18, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	54%	14	600 LV	±4.0%
Essman Research	October 12 – 15, 2012	Barack Obama	32%	Mitt Romney	57%	25	500 LV	±4.4%
Mason-Dixon	October 3 – 5, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	54%	14	625 LV	±4.0%
DFM Research (D-ND Dems/NPL)	September 24 – 27, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	51%	12	600 LV	±4.0%

Ohio[edit]

18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing	November 4–5, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,316 LV	±2.7%
Zogby/Newsmax	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	50.9%	Mitt Romney	43.5%	7.4	832 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	680 LV	±4.3%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	41%	9	1,040 RV	±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports	November 4, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tied	750 LV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	47%	5	1,000 LV	±3.1%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	572 LV	±4.1%
Zogby/Newsmax	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	50.1%	Mitt Romney	44%	6.1	831 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	712 LV	±4.2%
Survey USA	November 1–4, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	803 LV	±3.5%
University of Cincinnati	October 31 – November 4, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	901 LV	±3.3%
Zogby/Newsmax	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	50.2%	Mitt Romney	42.3%	7.9	827 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	1,031 LV	±3.5%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,620 LV	±3%
Columbus Dispatch	October 24 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	48%	2	1,501 LV	±2.2%
Grove Insight	November 1–2, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	500 LV	±4.4%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 31 – November 2, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	1,012 LV	±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports	November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tied	750 LV	±4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	971 LV	±3.1%
We Ask America	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	1,649 LV	±2.6%
CNN	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	796 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	936 LV	±3.7%
Wenzel Strategies (R)	October 30–31, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	49%	3	1,281 LV	±2.7%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	885 LV	±3.8%
Public Policy Polling	October 29 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	600 LV	±4.0%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 28 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	44%	6	826 LV	±3.5%
University of Cincinnati	October 25 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	1,182 LV	±2.9%
Pulse Opinion Research	October 29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	1,000 LV	±3%
Grove Insight	October 28 – 29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	500 LV	±4.4%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 27 – 29, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	825 LV	±3.5%
SurveyUSA	October 26 – 29, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	603 LV/AV	±4.1%
Rasmussen Reports	October 28, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	50%	2	750 LV	±4%
Pharos Research	October 26 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	765 LV	±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 26 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	827 LV	±3.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 26 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	718 LV	±3.7%
CBS/Quinnipiac University	October 23 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	1,110 LV	±3%
Gravis Marketing	October 27, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	730 LV	±3.6%
Mellman Group	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	600 LV	±4%
CNN/ORC Poll	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	741 RV	±3.5%
Purple Strategies	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
American Research Group	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
Time Magazine	October 22 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	783 LV	±3%
Rasmussen Reports	October 23, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	750 LV	±4.0%
Lake Research	October 20 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
University of Cincinnati	October 18 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tied	1,015 LV	±3.1%
SurveyUSA	October 20 – 22, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	44%	3	609 LV	±4.1%
Pharos Research	October 19 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	49.9%	Mitt Romney	45.2%	4.7	810 LV	±3.44%
Suffolk University	October 18 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	600 LV	±4.0%
Quinnipiac/CBS News Poll	October 17–20, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	1,548 LV	±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	October 18–20, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	550 LV	±4.2%
Public Policy Polling	October 18–20, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	532 LV	±4.3%
Gravis Marketing	October 18 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	1,943 LV	±2.2%
Fox News Poll	October 17–18, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3	1,131 LV	±3%
Rasmussen Reports	October 17, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	750 LV	±4.0%
SurveyUSA	October 12–15, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	42%	3	613 LV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	October 12–13, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	880 LV	±3.3%
JZ Analytics/Newsmax	October 9 – 11, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	835 LV	±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 10, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	750 LV	±4.0%
Gravis Marketing	October 6 – 10, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	1,313 LV	±2.7%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	October 7 – 9, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	994 LV	±3.1%
JZ Analytics/Newsmax	October 7 – 9, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	42%	4	842 LV	±3.4%
Survey USA	October 5 – 9, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	808 LV	±3.5%
CNN/ORC Poll	October 5–8, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	722 LV	±3.5%
American Research Group	October 5 – 8, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	600 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 4, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	500 LV	±4.5%
We Ask America	October 4, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	1,200 LV	±3.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	September 30 – October 1, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8	931 LV	±3.2%
Public Policy Polling	September 27 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	897 LV	±3.3%
Columbus Dispatch	September 19 – 29, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	42%	9	1,662 RV	±2.2%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS Poll	September 18 – 24, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	43%	10	1,162 LV	±3.0%
Washington Post	September 19 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	44%	8	759 LV	±4.5%
Gravis Marketing	September 21 – 22, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	44%	1	594 LV	±4.3%
Purple Strategies	September 15 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	44%	4	600 LV	±4.0%
Ohio Newspaper Poll	September 13 – 18, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	861 LV	±3.3%
FOX NEWS Poll	September 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	1,009 LV	±3.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 9–12, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	43%	7	979 LV	±3.1%
American Research Group	September 10–12, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	600 LV	±4.0%
Public Policy Polling	September 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	1,072 LV	±3.0%
Gravis Marketing	September 7–8, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	43%	4	1,548 LV	±2.7%
Gravis Marketing	September 2, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	1,381 RV	±2.9%

Three way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing	September 21–22, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	38%	Gary Johnson	11%	7	594	±4.3%
Gravis Marketing	September 7–8, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	43%	Gary Johnson	5%	2	1,548	±2.7%

Oklahoma[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2008) 67%–34%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
SoonerPoll	October 18 – 24, 2012	Barack Obama	33%	Mitt Romney	59%	26	305 LV	±5.6%

Oregon[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Public Policy Polling	October 31 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	46%	6	921 LV	±3.2%
Elway Research	October 25 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	41%	6	405 LV	±5%
Hoffman Research	October 24 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	42%	5	615 LV	±3.9%
Survey USA	October 16 – 18, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	579 LV	±4.2%
Survey USA	September 10–13, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	41%	9	552 LV	±4.3%

Pennsylvania[edit]

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Gravis Marketing	November 4, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,060 LV	±3%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	November 2 – 4, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	507 LV	±4.2%
Public Policy Polling	November 2 – 3, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	46%	6	790 LV	±3.5%
Muhlenberg College	November 1 – 3, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	430 LV	±5%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	44%	8	1,273 LV	±3.3%
Susquehanna Polling (R)	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	800 LV	±3.5%
Pulse Opinion Research	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,000 LV	±3%
Franklin & Marshall College	October 23–28, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	547 LV	±4.2%
Philadelphia Inquirer	October 23–25, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	43%	6	600 LV	±4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 24, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	500 LV	±4.5%
Gravis Marketing	October 21, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	887 LV	±3.3%
Pharos Research	October 19 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	49.5%	Mitt Romney	45.5%	4	760 LV	±3.55%
Muhlenberg	October 17 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	444 LV	±5.0%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	October 18 – 20, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	42%	10	559 LV	±4.2%
Quinnipiac	October 12 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	1,519 LV	±2.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 12 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	44%	7	500 LV	±4.4%
Muhlenberg	October 10 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	45%	4	438 LV	±5.0%
Philadelphia Inquirer	October 11, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	42%	8	600 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 9, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	500 LV	±4.5%
Susquehanna (R)	October 4 – 6, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	725 LV	±3.64%
Siena	October 1 – 5, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	40%	3	545 LV	±4.2%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	September 22–26, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	427 LV	±5.0%
Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS	September 18–24, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	42%	12	1,180 LV	±3.0%
Franklin and Marshall College	September 18–23, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	43%	9	392 LV	±4.9%
Susquehanna (R)	September 18–20, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	45%	2	800 LV	±3.46%
Mercyhurst University	September 12–20, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	40%	8	522 LV	±4.29%
Rasmussen Reports	September 19, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	39%	12	500 LV	±4.5%
We Ask America	September 18, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6	1,214 LV	±2.8%
Muhlenberg College	September 10–16, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	41%	9	640 LV	±4.0%
Philadelphia Inquirer	September 9–12, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	39%	11	600 LV	±4%

Rhode Island[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Fleming & Associates	October 24–27, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	33%	21	601 LV	±4%
Brown University	September 26 – October 5, 2012	Barack Obama	58%	Mitt Romney	32%	26	471 LV	±4.4%
Fleming & Associates	September 26–29, 2012	Barack Obama	57.3%	Mitt Romney	33.1%	24.2	501 LV	±4.38%

South Carolina[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

South Dakota[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Neilson Brothers	October 28–31, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	50%	8	671 LV	±3.78%

Tennessee[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	53%	11	697 LV	±4%
Middle Tennessee State University	October 16 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	34%	Mitt Romney	59%	25	609 LV	±4%
YouGov	October 4 – 11, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	52%	9	484 LV	±5%
YouGov	September 7 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	42%	Mitt Romney	50%	8	694 LV	±--%

Texas[edit]

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	38%	Mitt Romney	57%	19	1,563 LV	±3.2%
Texas U/Texas Tribune	October 15 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	55%	16	540 LV	±4.22%
YouGov	October 4 – 11, 2012	Barack Obama	41%	Mitt Romney	55%	14	958 LV	±4.5%
Texas Lyceum	September 10 – 26, 2012	Barack Obama	39%	Mitt Romney	58%	19	1,175 RV	±4.66%
Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research (R)	September 9–11, 2012	Barack Obama	40%	Mitt Romney	55%	15	1,000 LV	±3.1%

Utah[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Deseret News/KSL	October 26 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	26%	Mitt Romney	69%	43	870 LV	±3.4%
Key Research	October 9–13, 2012	Barack Obama	20%	Mitt Romney	71%	51	500 LV	±4.4%
Insider Advantage	October 8–13, 2012	Barack Obama	21%	Mitt Romney	74%	53	n/a	±7.6%

Vermont[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Virginia[edit]

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Zogby/Newsmax	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	48.5%	Mitt Romney	47.9%	0.6	800 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	828 LV	±3.9%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 3–5, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	42%	7	1,111 RV	±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports	November 4, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	50%	2	750 LV	±4%
Public Policy Polling	November 3–4, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	975 LV	±3.1%
Zogby/Newsmax	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	51.8%	Mitt Romney	44.2%	7.6	814 LV	±3.5%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 2–4, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	46%	1	662 LV	±4.3%
Zogby/Newsmax	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	50.4%	Mitt Romney	44.2%	6.2	819 LV	±3.1%
Reuters/Ipsos	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	947 LV	±3.6%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	1,497 LV	±2.7%
NBC/Marist College	November 1–2, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	1,165 LV	±2.9%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 31 – November 2, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	1,065 LV	±3.4%
Mellman Group	October 30 – November 2, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	45%	3	800 LV	±3.4%
We Ask America	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,069 LV	±3%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	792 LV	±4%
Public Policy Polling	October 30 – 31, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	600 LV	±4.0%
Reuters/Ipsos	October 29–31, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	703 LV	±4.2%
Pulse Opinion Research	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,000 LV	±3%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 28 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	800 LV	±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 27–29, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	49%	4	829 LV	±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 26–28, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	47%	1	1,076 LV	±3%
CBS/Quinnipiac University	October 23 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	1,074 LV	±3%
Garin Hart Yang	October 25–27, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	807 LV	---
Gravis Marketing	October 26, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	645 LV	±3.9%
Roanoke College	October 23–26, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	49%	5	638 LV	±4%
Washington Post Poll	October 22–26, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	1,228 LV	±3.5%
Zogby/Newsmax	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	48%	Tied	834 LV	±3.5%
Purple Strategies	October 23 – 25, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	47%	Tied	600 LV	±4.0%
Rasmussen Reports	October 24, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	50%	2	750 LV	±4.0%
Fox News	October 23–24, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	1126 LV	±3.0%
Public Policy Polling	October 23 – 24, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	722 LV	±3.6%
JZ Analytic	October 22 – 24, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	832 LV	±3.5%
Mellman	October 18 – 21, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	45%	1	800 LV	±3.46%
Wenzel Strategies (R)	October 19 – 20, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	49%	2	1,000 LV	±3.07%
Public Policy Polling	October 18 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	500 LV	±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 18, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	50%	3	750 LV	±4.0%
Old Dominion University	September 19 – October 17, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	43%	7	465 LV	±3.4%
Public Policy Polling	October 15 – 16, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	733 LV	±3.6%
American Research Group	October 12 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	600 LV	±4.0%
Kimball Political Consulting	October 12 – 13, 2012	Barack Obama	43%	Mitt Romney	54%	11	696 LV	±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 11, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	49%	2	750 LV	±4.0%
McLaughlin	October 8–9, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	51%	7	600 LV	±4.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	October 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	47%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	981 LV	±3.1%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	October 4–9, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	1,288 LV	±2.7%
Public Policy Polling	October 4–7, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	725 LV	±3.7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 4, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	49%	1	500 LV	±4.5%
We Ask America	October 4, 2012	Barack Obama	45%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	1,200 LV	±3.0%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	September 30 – October 1, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	1,273 RV	±3.1%
Roanoke College	September 19 – 28, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	40%	8	589 LV	±4.0%
American Research Group	September 24 – 27, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
Suffolk University	September 24 – 26, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	44%	2	600 LV	±4.0%
Purple Strategies	September 15 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	43%	3	600 LV	±4.0%
FOX NEWS Poll	September 16–18, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	43%	7	1,006 LV	±3.0%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	September 11–17, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	1,474 LV	±3.0%
Public Policy Polling	September 13–16, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	1,021 LV	±3.1%
Washington Post	September 12–16, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	44%	8	847 LV	±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports	September 13, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	500 LV	±4.5%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 9–11, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	44%	5	996 LV	±3.1%
Gravis Marketing	September 8–9, 2012	Barack Obama	44%	Mitt Romney	49%	5	2,238 LV	±2.2%

Four way race

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Constitution	%	Lead margin
Suffolk University	September 24 – 26, 2012	Barack Obama	46%	Mitt Romney	44%	Gary Johnson	1%	Virgil Goode	1%	2

Washington[edit]

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	40%	14	837 LV	±--%
Public Policy Polling	November 1 – 3, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	46%	7	932 LV	±3.2%
Survey USA	October 28 – 31, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	40%	14	555 LV	±4.2%
University of Washington	October 18 – 31, 2012	Barack Obama	57%	Mitt Romney	36%	21	632 LV	±3.9%
Strategies 360	October 17 – 20, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	39%	13	500 LV	±4.4%
Public Policy Polling	October 15 – 16, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	574 LV	±--%
The Washington Poll	October 1–16, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	41%	11	782 LV	±3.5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 14, 2012	Barack Obama	55%	Mitt Romney	42%	13	500 LV	±4.5%
SurveyUSA	October 12 – 14, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	40%	14	543 LV	±4.3%
SurveyUSA	September 28 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	36%	20	540 LV	±4.3%
Rasmussen Reports	September 26, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	41%	11	500 LV	±4.5%
Gravis Marketing	September 21–22, 2012	Barack Obama	56%	Mitt Romney	39%	17	625 RV	±4.6%
Elway	September 9–12, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	36%	17	405 RV	±5.0%
Public Policy Polling	September 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	42%	11	563	±n/a%
KING5NEWS/SurveyUSA	September 7–9, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	38%	16	700	±4.4%

West Virginia[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Wisconsin[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Poll source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
Angus Reid Public Opinion	November 1–3, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	46%	7	482 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	November 2 – 3, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	48%	3	1,256 LV	±2.8%
YouGov	October 31 – November 3, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	46%	4	1,225 LV	±3.1%
Grove Insight	November 1–2, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	42%	6	500 LV	±4.4%
We Ask America	October 30 – November 1, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	45%	7	1,210 LV	±3%
Wenzel Strategies (R)	October 30–31, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	1,074 LV	±3%
Pulse Opinion Research	October 30, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	1,000 LV	±3%
Public Policy Polling	October 29–30, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	825 LV	±3.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 29, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tie	500 LV	±4.5%
NBC/Marist College	October 28–29, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	1,065 LV	±3%
St. Norbert College	October 25–29, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	42%	9	402 LV	±5%
Marquette University	October 25–28, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	43%	8	1,243 LV	±2.8%
Grove Insight	October 24–25, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	43%	5	500 LV	±4.4%
Rasmussen Reports	October 25, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	49%	Tie	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 23–24, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	827 LV	±3.4%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	October 18–20, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	46%	5	502 LV	±4.5%
Rasmussen Reports	October 18, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	48%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
Mason Dixon	October 15 – 17, 2012	Barack Obama	48%	Mitt Romney	46%	2	625 LV	±4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist	October 15 – 17, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	1,295 RV	±3.1%
Pulse Opinion Research	October 15, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	1,000 LV	±3%
Marquette University	October 11–14, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	48%	1	870 LV	±3.4%
YouGov	October 4 – 11, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	47%	4	639 LV	±4.9%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	October 4–9, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	47%	3	1,327 LV	±2.7%
Rasmussen Reports	October 9, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	49%	2	500 LV	±4.5%
Public Policy Polling	October 4 – 6, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	47%	2	979 LV	±3.1%
Marquette University	September 27 – 30, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	42%	11	894 LV	±3.3%
We Ask America	September 20 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	53%	Mitt Romney	41%	12	1,238 LV	±2.8%
Public Policy Polling	September 18 – 19, 2012	Barack Obama	52%	Mitt Romney	45%	7	842 LV	±3.4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll	September 16 – 18, 2012	Barack Obama	50%	Mitt Romney	45%	5	968 LV	±3.2%
Rasmussen Reports	September 17, 2012	Barack Obama	49%	Mitt Romney	46%	3	500 LV	±4.5%
Marquette University	September 13–16, 2012	Barack Obama	54%	Mitt Romney	40%	14	601 LV	±3%
Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS	September 11–17, 2012	Barack Obama	51%	Mitt Romney	45%	6	1,485 LV	±3.0%

Three way race

Poll source	Date	Democratic	%	Republican	%	Libertarian	%	Lead margin	Sample Size	Margin of error
We Ask America	September 20 – 23, 2012	Barack Obama	52.5%	Mitt Romney	41.0%	Gary Johnson	1.2%	12	1,238 LV	±2.8%

Wyoming[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 69%–29%
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%

No polls conducted

External links[edit]

American Research Group

Election Projection

FiveThirtyEight at The New York Times

Huffingtonpost

Polling Report

Princeton Election Consortium

Public Policy Polling

Rasmussen Reports

Real Clear Politics

Survey USA

USA Election Polls

Votamatic

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