Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
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This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2012. The polls listed here, by state are from 2009 to December 31, 2011 and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Note: Some states did not conduct polling before December 31, 2011
Contents
1 Arizona
2 Arkansas
3 California
4 Colorado
5 Connecticut
6 Florida
7 Georgia
8 Hawaii
9 Illinois
10 Iowa
11 Kansas
12 Kentucky
13 Louisiana
14 Maine
15 Massachusetts
16 Michigan
17 Minnesota
18 Mississippi
19 Missouri
20 Montana
21 Nebraska
22 Nevada
23 New Hampshire
24 New Jersey
25 New Mexico
26 New York
27 North Carolina
28 Ohio
29 Oregon
30 Pennsylvania
31 Rhode Island
32 South Carolina
33 South Dakota
34 Tennessee
35 Texas
36 Utah
37 Vermont
38 Virginia
39 Washington
40 West Virginia
41 Wisconsin
42 See also
43 Notes
Arizona[edit]
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Herman Cain | 42% | 4 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | Tied | ||||
| Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 44% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 40% | 7 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | ||||
BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll | October 13–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Herman Cain | 38% | 7 | 581 | ±4.1% |
45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | |||||
44% | Rick Perry | 38% | 6 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 7 | 623 | ±3.9% |
46% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 2 | |||||
49% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 11 | |||||
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Donald Trump | 36% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | Tied | 599 | ±4.0% |
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 8 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2009 | Barack Obama | 47% | Sarah Palin | 47% | Tied | 617 | ±3.9% |
| Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 4 | ||||
| 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 |
Arkansas[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talk Business-Hendrix College | September 15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 16 | 2,101 | ±2.1% |
California[edit]
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Field | November 15–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 1,000 | ±3.1% |
55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Michele Bachmann | 31% | 29 | 500 | ±4.4% |
61% | Herman Cain | 32% | 29 | |||||
60% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 26 | |||||
57% | Ron Paul | 32% | 25 | |||||
60% | Rick Perry | 31% | 29 | |||||
57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | |||||
Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 32% | 24 | 800 | ±3.5% |
50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | |||||
Field | September 1–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 13 | 1,001 | ±3.2% |
54% | Rick Perry | 35% | 19 | |||||
L.A. Times/USC | August 17–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Rick Perry | 32% | 24 | 1,408 | ±4.0% |
57% | Michele Bachmann | 31% | 26 | |||||
54% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 19 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 24 | 892 | ±3.3% |
54% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 15 | |||||
62% | Sarah Palin | 31% | 31 | |||||
56% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 20 |
Colorado[edit]
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 793 | ±3.5% |
52% | Herman Cain | 36% | 16 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 | |||||
52% | Rick Perry | 37% | 15 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 12 | 510 | ±4.3% |
51% | Herman Cain | 35% | 16 | |||||
54% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 16 | |||||
51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | |||||
48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 14 | 517 | ±4.3% |
51% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 9 | |||||
55% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 19 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 |
Connecticut[edit]
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 19 | 592 | ±4.0% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 16 | |||||
53% | Rick Perry | 41% | 12 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | |||||
Quinnipiac | September 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Rick Perry | 33% | 19 | 1,230 | ±2.8% |
49% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 13 |
Florida[edit]
29 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 52%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 2,119 | ±2.1% |
51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | |||||
49% | Ron Paul | 36% | 13 | |||||
Quinnipiac | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 1,226 | ±2.8% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 28 – December 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 700 | ±3.7% |
50% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 6 | |||||
51% | Herman Cain | 37% | 14 | |||||
46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | |||||
50% | Ron Paul | 38% | 12 | |||||
Rasmussen Reports | November 17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Herman Cain | 37% | 9 | ||||
45% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 2 | |||||
Quinnipiac | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Herman Cain | 41% | 4 | 1,185 | ±2.9% |
45% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 3 | |||||
46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | |||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | ||||
Suffolk University | October 26–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Herman Cain | 39% | 3 | 800 | ±--% |
46% | Rick Perry | 34% | 8 | |||||
44% | Ron Paul | 32% | 12 | |||||
45% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 7 | |||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Tied | ||||
NBC News/Marist | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 41% | 6 | 2,225 | ±2.1% |
47% | Rick Perry | 39% | 8 | |||||
45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 44% | 5 | 476 | ±4.5% |
50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | |||||
45% | Ron Paul | 44% | 1 | |||||
50% | Rick Perry | 43% | 7 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | |||||
Quinnipiac | September 14–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 42% | 2 | 1,007 | ±3.1% |
| Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 7 | ||||
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±3.6% Sample size: 743 | August 1–2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 38% | 12 | 743 | ±3.6% |
53% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 19 | |||||
44% | Rick Perry | 39% | 5 | |||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Quinnipiac | July 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 14 | 674 | ±3.8% |
54% | Sarah Palin | 33% | 21 | |||||
49% | Rick Perry | 36% | 13 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 5 | |||||
Sunshine State News/VSS | July 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3.10% |
Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 9 | 848 | ±3.4% |
48% | Herman Cain | 37% | 11 | |||||
52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | |||||
48% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 8 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | |||||
Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 3 | ||||
41% | Tim Pawlenty | 28% | 13 | |||||
45% | Michele Bachmann | 30% | 15 | |||||
47% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 11 | |||||
52% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 18 | |||||
49% | Donald Trump | 34% | 15 | |||||
47% | Haley Barbour | 26% | 17 | |||||
48% | Ron Paul | 30% | 18 | |||||
Mason-Dixon | April 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 5 | 800 | ±3.5% |
| 44% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 5 | |||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 12 | ||||
48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 500 | ±4.4% |
50% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 7 | |||||
52% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 13 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | |||||
48% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | |||||
48% | Rudy Giuliani | 42% | 6 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 5 | 1,034 | ±3.0% |
49% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 5 | |||||
52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | |||||
48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 |
Georgia[edit]
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Dixon | December 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 50% | 9 | 625 | ±4.0% |
| 38% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 17 | |||||
Survey USA | December 6–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 6 | 1,176 | ±2.9% |
| 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 790 | ±3.5% |
| Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Herman Cain | 39% | 5 |
Hawaii[edit]
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 64% | Michele Bachmann | 28% | 36 | 568 | ±4.1% |
63% | Herman Cain | 30% | 33 | |||||
64% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 37 | |||||
63% | Rick Perry | 28% | 35 | |||||
59% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 27 |
Illinois[edit]
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 55%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul Simon Public Policy Institute | October 11–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46.1% | Mitt Romney | 38.5% | 7.6 | 1,000 | ±3.0% |
49.3% | Ron Paul | 30.3% | 19 |
Iowa[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Marist College | November 27–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 37% | 11 | 1,393 | ±2.6% |
46% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 7 | |||||
54% | Michele Bachmann | 31% | 23 | |||||
47% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 10 | |||||
50% | Herman Cain | 32% | 18 | |||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Ron Paul | 42% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 10 | 749 | ±3.6% |
47% | Herman Cain | 41% | 6 | |||||
50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | |||||
47% | Ron Paul | 40% | 7 | |||||
49% | Rick Perry | 39% | 10 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | |||||
NBC News-Marist College | October 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 37% | 9 | 2,836 | ±1.8% |
43% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 3 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | August 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 34% | 17 | 798 | ±3.5% |
51% | Herman Cain | 33% | 18 | |||||
54% | Sarah Palin | 33% | 21 | |||||
51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | |||||
Mason-Dixon | July 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 46% | 1 | 629 | ±3.9% |
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 32% | 18 | 1,387 | ±2.6% |
54% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 21 | |||||
55% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 20 | |||||
49% | Tim Pawlenty | 37% | 12 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | 1,109 | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 17 | ||||
45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | |||||
51% | Donald Trump | 35% | 16 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | January 7–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 1,077 | ±3.0% |
47% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 4 | |||||
53% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 16 | |||||
47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 |
Kansas[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 62%–37%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 35% | Newt Gingrich | 52% | 17 | 800 | ±3.5% |
| Barack Obama | 31% | Mitt Romney | 56% | 25 |
Kentucky[edit]
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Michele Bachmann | 46% | 3 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 44% | 4 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Perry | 49% | 7 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 8 |
Louisiana[edit]
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clarus Research | October 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 16 | 602 | ±4.0% |
| Barack Obama | 37% | Rick Perry | 52% | 15 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 17–19, 2009 | Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 49% | 7 | 727 | ±3.6% |
| Barack Obama | 40% | Bobby Jindal | 54% | 14 |
Maine[edit]
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–45%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 20 | 673 | ±3.8% |
54% | Herman Cain | 37% | 17 | |||||
55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | |||||
55% | Rick Perry | 34% | 21 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 11 | |||||
Critical Insights | October 18–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 1 | 600 | ±4.0% |
46% | Rick Perry | 32% | 14 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 1,247 | ±2.8% |
51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | |||||
57% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 22 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 |
Massachusetts[edit]
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov America/University of Massachusetts Amherst | November 9–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 23% | 31 | Varies[1] | Varies |
Barack Obama | 51% | Herman Cain | 28% | 23 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 15 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 16–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 59% | Michele Bachmann | 28% | 31 | 791 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 58% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 27 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Ron Paul | 30% | 25 | ||||
Barack Obama | 58% | Rick Perry | 32% | 26 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Herman Cain | 27% | 33 | 957 | ±3.2% |
Barack Obama | 63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | ||||
Barack Obama | 63% | Sarah Palin | 27% | 36 | ||||
Barack Obama | 59% | Tim Pawlenty | 28% | 31 | ||||
Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 57% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 24 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 57% | Mike Huckabee | 33% | 24 | ||||
Barack Obama | 61% | Sarah Palin | 32% | 29 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 |
Michigan[edit]
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA | November 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 36% | 14 | ||||
Survey USA | October 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Michele Bachmann | 30% | 26 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 32% | 21 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 23 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Perry | 32% | 21 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | ||||
Inside Michigan/MRG | Sept 14–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 39% | 11 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 16 | 593 | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 33% | 17 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 18 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 35% | 15 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Thaddeus McCotter | 31% | 19 | ||||
EPIC-MRA | July 9–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Public Policy Polling | March 18–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 502 | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 20 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Scott Walker | 32% | 20 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 3–6, 2010 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 15 | 1,224 | ±2.8% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 21 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Rick Snyder | 38% | 11 |
Minnesota[edit]
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | November 2–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Michele Bachmann | 29% | 28 | 543 | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 35% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 35% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | ||||
Survey USA | June 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 14 | 558 | ±4.2% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Tim Pawlenty | 46% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 21 | 1,179 | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Herman Cain | 30% | 21 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 18 | ||||
Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 20 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 43% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 15 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 4–5, 2010 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 949 | ±3.2% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 18 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 43% | 8 | ||||
St. Cloud State University Survey | October 24 – November 4, 2009 | Barack Obama | 49% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 9 | 550 | ±5.0% |
Public Policy Polling | July 7–8, 2009 | Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 21 | 1,491 | ±2.5% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 11 |
Mississippi[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Michele Bachmann | 52% | 12 | 796 | ±3.5% |
| 37% | Herman Cain | 54% | 17 | |||||
| 38% | Newt Gingrich | 54% | 16 | |||||
| 37% | Ron Paul | 52% | 15 | |||||
| 38% | Rick Perry | 55% | 17 | |||||
| 36% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 18 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 6 | 817 | ±3.4% |
| 40% | Mike Huckabee | 54% | 14 | |||||
| 44% | Sarah Palin | 48% | 4 | |||||
| 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | |||||
| 41% | Haley Barbour | 51% | 10 |
Missouri[edit]
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 53%–46%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | November 9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 39% | 8 | 500 | ±4.5% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 43% | 4 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 43% | 4 | 632 | ±3.9% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 47% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | 555 | ±3.9% |
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | Tied | 612 | ±4.0% |
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 515 | ±4.3% |
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 3 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 |
Montana[edit]
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Herman Cain | 45% | 2 | 1,625 | ±2.4% |
| 42% | Newt Gingrich | 50% | 8 | |||||
| 40% | Ron Paul | 48% | 8 | |||||
| 40% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 10 | |||||
| 43% | Rick Perry | 46% | 3 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Michele Bachmann | 48% | 6 | 819 | ±3.4% |
| 41% | Herman Cain | 46% | 5 | |||||
| 44% | Sarah Palin | 48% | 4 | |||||
| 41% | Tim Pawlenty | 45% | 4 | |||||
| 41% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 8 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | 2 | 1,176 | ±2.9% |
| 41% | Mike Huckabee | 51% | 10 | |||||
| 45% | Sarah Palin | 47% | 2 | |||||
| 39% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 11 |
Nebraska[edit]
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 66%–33%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Michele Bachmann | 49% | 8 | 739 | ±3.6% |
| Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 7 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 41% | Rick Perry | 48% | 7 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 13 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 26–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 8 | 977 | ±3.1% |
| Barack Obama | 38% | Mike Huckabee | 51% | 13 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 44% | Sarah Palin | 45% | 1 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 12 |
Nevada[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Las Vegas Review Journal/University of Nevada | December 12–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45.7% | Mitt Romney | 39.8% | 5.9 | 600 | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 45.4% | Ron Paul | 35.7% | 9.7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47.3% | Newt Gingrich | 35.4% | 11.9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50.2% | Michele Bachmann | 27.1% | 23.1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48.8% | Jon Huntsman | 30.1% | 18.7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50.8% | Rick Perry | 31.1% | 19.7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49.3% | Rick Santorum | 30.9% | 18.4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 41% | 8 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 41% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 10 | 601 | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 39% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Rick Perry | 40% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 4 | 491 | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 11 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 11 | 932 | ±3.2% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 |
New Hampshire[edit]
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Marist College | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 36% | 15 | 1,144 | ±2.9% |
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 33% | 20 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 30% | 23 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Ron Paul | 42% | 2 | ||||
University of New Hampshire/WMUR | November 15–20, 2011 | |||||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 35% | 19 | 665 | ±3.8% | ||
Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 12 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | ||||
NBC News-Marist Poll | October 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | 2,218 | ±2.1% |
| Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | |||||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 42% | 7 | 662 | ±3.8% | ||
Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 39% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 15 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Tim Pawlenty | 41% | 7 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | ||||
New Hampshire University | June 21 – July 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 773 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Tim Pawlenty | 38% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 41% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 13 | 769 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 22 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Donald Trump | 37% | 14 | ||||
Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies | February 9–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 789 | ±3.49% |
Barack Obama | 57% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 23 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 23 |
New Jersey[edit]
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 52%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | |||||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Chris Christie | 38% | 17 | 520 | ±4.3% | ||
Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 17 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 17 | ||||
Barack Obama | 59% | Sarah Palin | 29% | 30 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 15 |
New Mexico[edit]
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 11–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 17 | 500 | ±4.4% |
56% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 20 | |||||
51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | |||||
53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | |||||
56% | Rick Perry | 35% | 21 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 15 | 732 | ±3.6% |
52% | Herman Cain | 36% | 16 | |||||
46% | Gary Johnson | 43% | 3 | |||||
56% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 20 | |||||
51% | Tim Pawlenty | 36% | 15 | |||||
49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 21 | 545 | ±4.2% |
55% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 19 | |||||
51% | Gary Johnson | 36% | 15 | |||||
62% | Sarah Palin | 33% | 29 | |||||
53% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 16 |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | Gary Johnson | 20% | 17 | 500 | ±4.4% |
44% | Mitt Romney | 27% | Gary Johnson | 23% | 17 |
New York[edit]
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 63% | Herman Cain | 27% | 36 | 803 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 63% | Rick Perry | 28% | 35 | ||||
Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 25 | ||||
Barack Obama | 64% | Michele Bachmann | 27% | 37 | ||||
Barack Obama | 60% | Ron Paul | 31% | 29 | ||||
Marist College | October 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 62% | Herman Cain | 31% | 31 | 1,030 | ±3.0% |
Barack Obama | 64% | Rick Perry | 29% | 35 | ||||
Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | ||||
Siena College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Herman Cain | 32% | 26 | 800 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 58% | Rick Perry | 31% | 27 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 18 |
North Carolina[edit]
15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–44%
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 37% | 13 | 865 | ±3.3% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 42% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 42% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 42% | 8 | 615 | ±4.0% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 44% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 42% | 8 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 42% | 7 | 760 | ±3.6% |
| Barack Obama | 45% | Chris Christie | 46% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Ron Paul | 43% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 44% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 45% | 2 | 520 | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 46% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 10 | 780 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 37% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 40% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Michele Bachmann | 43% | 3 | 651 | ±3.8% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Herman Cain | 42% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Tim Pawlenty | 41% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 8–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 37% | 11 | 563 | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 835 | ±3.4% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Donald Trump | 35% | 17 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 14–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | 507 | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Donald Trump | 39% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 5 | 584 | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 16–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 4 | 650 | ±3.8% |
| Barack Obama | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 6 | 575 | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 17–19, 2010 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 6 | 520 | ±4.3% |
| Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 19–21, 2010 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 517 | ±4.3% |
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 10–12, 2009 | Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 7 | 767 | ±3.5% |
Ohio[edit]
18 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 51%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | 1,437 | ±2.6% |
| Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 1 | ||||
Quinnipiac | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 38% | 10 | 1,312 | ±2.7% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 36% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 14 | 1,022 | ±3.1% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 39% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Ron Paul | 36% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Perry | 36% | 17 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac | October 17–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 36% | 11 | 1,668 | ±2.4% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 39% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 9 | 581 | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 45% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 41% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | ||||
Quinnipiac | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 41% | 3 | 1,301 | ±2.7% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Michele Bachmann | 41% | 7 | 792 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 39% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 41% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | ||||
Quinnipiac | July 12–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 13 | 563 | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 16 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 35% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 12 | 559 | ±4.1% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 16 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 6 | 510 | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 |
Oregon[edit]
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling/ Daily Kos/SEIU | December 13–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | 979 | ±3.1% |
53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | |||||
Survey USA | November 18–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | 528 | ±4.4% |
48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | June 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 18 | 701 | ±3.7% |
53% | Herman Cain | 32% | 21 | |||||
57% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 22 | |||||
52% | Tim Pawlenty | 34% | 18 | |||||
50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 |
Pennsylvania[edit]
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call | November 28 – December 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 447 | ±5% |
52% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 17 | |||||
48% | Rick Perry | 30% | 18 | |||||
55% | Herman Cain | 28% | 27 | |||||
Quinnipiac | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 1,453 | ±2.6% |
48% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 8 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 35% | 18 | 500 | ±4.4% |
49% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 6 | |||||
46% | Ron Paul | 42% | 4 | |||||
51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | |||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 5 | ||||
Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 7 | 800 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Quinnipiac | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 38% | 10 | 1,436 | ±2.6% |
48% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 10 | |||||
47% | Rick Perry | 38% | 9 | |||||
44% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | |||||
Franklin & Marshall College | October 24–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Herman Cain | 24% | 14 | 525 | ±4.3% |
40% | Rick Perry | 20% | 20 | |||||
35% | Mitt Romney | 26% | 9 | |||||
38% | Rick Santorum | 25% | 13 | |||||
Quinnipiac | September 21–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | 1,370 | ±2.7% |
45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | |||||
45% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 3 | |||||
Franklin & Marshall College | August 22–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Michele Bachmann | 23% | 19 | 525 | ±4.3% |
38% | Rick Perry | 27% | 11 | |||||
36% | Mitt Romney | 30% | 6 | |||||
Quinnipiac | July 25–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 8 | 1,358 | ±2.7% |
45% | Rick Perry | 39% | 6 | |||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 43% | 7 | 545 | ±4.2% |
49% | Herman Cain | 37% | 12 | |||||
53% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 14 | |||||
47% | Tim Pawlenty | 39% | 8 | |||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 10 | ||||
Quinnipiac | June 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 7 | 1,277 | ±2.7% |
49% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 11 | |||||
Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 8 | 593 | ±4.0% |
45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | |||||
50% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 11 | |||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 10 | 547 | ±4.2% |
47% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 3 | |||||
51% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 15 | |||||
46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | |||||
48% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 8 |
Rhode Island[edit]
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 33 | 544 | ±4.2% |
Barack Obama | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 31% | 25 | ||||
Barack Obama | 65% | Sarah Palin | 24% | 41 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 17 |
South Carolina[edit]
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 58%–41%
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 2,107 | ±2.1% |
Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 37% | 10 | ||||
NBC News/Marist | October 10–12, 2011 | |||||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Herman Cain | 44% | 2 | 2,131 | ±2.1% | ||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Perry | 43% | 1 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Michele Bachmann | 44% | Tied | 587 | ±4.0% |
| Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Sarah Palin | 45% | Tied | ||||
| Barack Obama | 41% | Rick Perry | 49% | 8 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 15 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Herman Cain | 40% | 3 | 741 | ±3.6% |
| Barack Obama | 44% | Jim DeMint | 47% | 3 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 42% | Tim Pawlenty | 42% | Tied | ||||
| Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 1 | 1,167 | ±2.9% |
| Barack Obama | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 6 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 45% | Jim DeMint | 47% | 2 |
South Dakota[edit]
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 60%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 2 | 1,045 | ±3.0% |
| Barack Obama | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 8 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 37% | John Thune | 57% | 20 |
Tennessee[edit]
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 57%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Rick Perry | 40% | 1 | 1,423 | ±2.6% |
| Barack Obama | 37% | Herman Cain | 41% | 4 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | ||||
Vanderbilt University | June 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Michele Bachmann | 27% | 11 | 700 | ±3.7% |
Barack Obama | 38% | Newt Gingrich | 26% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Sarah Palin | 29% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | Tim Pawlenty | 28% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 9–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | 3 | 500 | ±4.4% |
| Barack Obama | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 53% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Sarah Palin | 45% | Tied | ||||
| Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | ||||
FRONTPAGE Vanderbilt University | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 5 | 710 | ±3.3% |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date | Democratic candidate | % | Republican | % | Third party/independent | % | Lead margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 34% | Rick Perry | 27% | "a qualified Independent candidate" | 23% | 7 |
38% | Herman Cain | 30% | "a qualified Independent candidate" | 18% | 8 | |||
36% | Mitt Romney | 25% | "a qualified Independent candidate" | 23% | 11 | |||
33% | Mitt Romney | 28% | Michael Bloomberg | 14% | 5 | |||
34% | Mitt Romney | 28% | Warren Buffett | 18% | 6 | |||
38% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Alec Baldwin | 8% | 3 |
Texas[edit]
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 61%–38%
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov | October 19–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 33% | Ron Paul | 38% | 5 | 800 | ±3.46% |
| Barack Obama | 35% | Herman Cain | 40% | 5 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 37% | Rick Perry | 45% | 8 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | June 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Michele Bachmann | 47% | 3 | 795 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 43% | Herman Cain | 43% | Tied | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Sarah Palin | 44% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 43% | Tim Pawlenty | 44% | 1 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 8 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 40% | Ron Paul | 45% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 45% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 5 | 892 | ±3.3% |
| Barack Obama | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 55% | 16 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 46% | Sarah Palin | 47% | 1 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 45% | Tied | ||||
University of Texas | June 11–22, 2009 | Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 5 | 924 | ±3.22% |
Utah[edit]
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 72%–26%
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 35% | Michele Bachmann | 49% | 14 | 732 | ±3.6% |
| 36% | Herman Cain | 43% | 7 | |||||
| 23% | Jon Huntsman | 63% | 40 | |||||
| 41% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 2 | |||||
| 34% | Tim Pawlenty | 45% | 11 | |||||
| 31% | Mitt Romney | 63% | 32 | |||||
Salt Lake Tribune | April 26–28, 2010 | Barack Obama | 22% | Mitt Romney | 73% | 51 | 400 | ±5.0% |
| 32% | Sarah Palin | 53% | 22 | |||||
| 31% | Ron Paul | 48% | 17 | |||||
Dan Jones Poll | April 29, 2009 | Barack Obama | 27% | Mitt Romney | 67% | 40 | 254 | ±6.2% |
| 25% | Jon Huntsman | 58% | 33 |
Vermont[edit]
3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 59%–39%
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Michele Bachmann | 30% | 28 | 1,233 | ±2.8% |
58% | Herman Cain | 26% | 32 | |||||
53% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 17 | |||||
62% | Sarah Palin | 28% | 34 | |||||
57% | Rick Perry | 28% | 29 | |||||
54% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 20 |
Virginia[edit]
13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 54%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac | December 13–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 5 | 1,135 | ±2.9% |
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 11–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 13 | 600 | ±4% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 41% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | ||||
Quinnipiac | October 3–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Herman Cain | 43% | 2 | 1,459 | ±2.6% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 42% | 5 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | ||||
CNU/Times-Dispatch | October 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Rick Perry | 43% | Tied | 1,027 | ±3.1% |
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | ||||
Roanoke College | September 6–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 9 | 601 | ±4% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 31% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 33% | 10 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 40% | Rick Perry | 42% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 8 | ||||
Quinnipiac | September 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 11 | 1,368 | ±2.7% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 15 | ||||
Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 42% | 2 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 9 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 38% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 39% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 5–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 17 | 547 | ±4.2% |
Barack Obama | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 15 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Donald Trump | 32% | 22 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Bob McDonnell | 43% | 8 | ||||
The Washington Post[2] | May 2–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 503 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 9 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Tim Pawlenty | 35% | 20 | ||||
Barack Obama | 61% | Donald Trump | 30% | 31 | ||||
Barack Obama | 61% | Sarah Palin | 30% | 31 | ||||
The Washington Post[2] | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 677 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 38% | 13 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Donald Trump | 35% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 19 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | 524 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 8 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 551 | ±4.2% |
Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 5 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 11 |
Washington[edit]
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | November 21–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 19 | 549 | ±4.3% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | ||||
University of Washington | October 10–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 41% | 13 | 938 | ±3.2% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | ||||
Strategies 360 | September 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 37% | 14 | 500 | ±4.4% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 18 | 1098 | ±3.0% |
Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 57% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 23 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 58% | Donald Trump | 31% | 27 |
West Virginia[edit]
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2004) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | September 30– October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Michele Bachmann | 52% | 15 | 932 | ±3.2% |
| Barack Obama | 36% | Newt Gingrich | 51% | 15 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 34% | Ron Paul | 48% | 14 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 36% | Rick Perry | 52% | 16 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 21 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Michele Bachmann | 48% | 9 | 708 | ±3.7% |
| Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 5 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 45% | 3 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 38% | Rick Perry | 49% | 11 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 12 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 10 | 1105 | ±2.9% |
| Barack Obama | 36% | Mike Huckabee | 54% | 18 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 46% | 4 | ||||
| Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 13 |
Wisconsin[edit]
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2004) 50%–49%
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WRPI | October 18–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 31% | 19 | 605 | ±4% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 30% | 18 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 11 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 11 | 1,170 | ±2.9% |
Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 42% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 39% | 11 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 12 | 830 | ±3.4% |
Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 36% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 40% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 18 | 1,636 | ±2.4% |
Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 12 | ||||
Barack Obama | 50% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 7 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | 768 | ±3.5% |
Barack Obama | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | ||||
Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 19 | ||||
Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 10 | ||||
Barack Obama | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 9 | 702 | ±3.7% |
Barack Obama | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 6 | ||||
Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | ||||
Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | October 26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 42% | 5 | 500 | ±4.5% |
| Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Perry | 46% | 4 | ||||
Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 |
See also[edit]
- Early 2012 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
- Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2012 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012
- Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
- Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012
Notes[edit]
^ The sample size for Obama vs Perry was 222, the sample size for Obama vs Cain was 228 and the sample size for Obama vs Romney was 446
^ ab Interviews conducted after the news of Osama bin Laden's killing.
Categories:
- Opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2012
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