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Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election by demographics, 2016








Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election by demographics, 2016


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This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016. The general election occurred on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.




Contents





  • 1 Two-way race

    • 1.1 By race or ethnicity

      • 1.1.1 African Americans


      • 1.1.2 Asian Americans


      • 1.1.3 Hispanic Americans


      • 1.1.4 White Americans


      • 1.1.5 Non-white/Minority Americans



    • 1.2 By education

      • 1.2.1 White Americans with a college degree


      • 1.2.2 White Americans without a college degree



    • 1.3 By gender

      • 1.3.1 Male Americans


      • 1.3.2 Female Americans



    • 1.4 Other criteria

      • 1.4.1 Independent voters


      • 1.4.2 LGBT Americans


      • 1.4.3 Young Americans


      • 1.4.4 Americans with household incomes of $100,000 or more




  • 2 Three-way race

    • 2.1 Independent voters



  • 3 Four-way race

    • 3.1 By race or ethnicity

      • 3.1.1 African Americans


      • 3.1.2 Hispanic Americans


      • 3.1.3 White Americans



    • 3.2 By gender

      • 3.2.1 Female Americans


      • 3.2.2 Male Americans



    • 3.3 By education

      • 3.3.1 White Americans with a college degree


      • 3.3.2 White Americans without a college degree



    • 3.4 By age

      • 3.4.1 Americans aged 18–34


      • 3.4.2 Americans aged 35–49


      • 3.4.3 Americans aged 50–64


      • 3.4.4 Americans aged 65+



    • 3.5 Other criteria

      • 3.5.1 Independent voters


      • 3.5.2 Americans with household incomes of $100,000 or more


      • 3.5.3 Military


      • 3.5.4 LGBT Americans




  • 4 See also


  • 5 References


  • 6 External links




Two-way race[edit]



By race or ethnicity[edit]



African Americans[edit]










































































































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Undecided
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Politico/Morning Consult[1]November 4-5, 2016

80%
11%


69%
1,482 likely voters
± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2]November 3-5, 2016

86%
7%


79%
1,282 likely voters
± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College[3]November 1-3, 2016

86%
7%


79%
940 likely voters
±3.2%

American Research Group[4]
October 17-20, 2016

88%
4%
6%

84%
1,006 likely voters
±3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5]October 10-13, 2016

86%
9%


77%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
Pew Research[6]September 27-October 10, 2016

69%
15%


54%
4,132 respondents
±2.8%
American Research Group[7]September 17-20, 2016

87%
2%
8%

85%
990 registered voters
±3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[8]September 16-19, 2016

81%
7%


74%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times[9]September 9-13, 2016

89%
6%


83%
1,753 adults
±3.0%
Morning Consult[10]September 6–8, 2016

73%
7%


66%
1,961 registered voters
±2.0%

YouGov/The Economist[11]
September 4–6, 2016

82%
11%
5%

71%
1300 adults
±4.4%

USA Today/Suffolk University[12]
August 24–29, 2016

92%
4%


88%
1,000 voters
±3%
Morning Consult[13]August 24–26, 2016

79%
5%
16%

74%
2,007 registered voters
±2%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[14]July 4 – August 4, 2016

80%
14.6%


65.4%


Culturintel[15]June 1 – July 1, 2016

52%
26%
22%

26%



SurveyUSA[16]
September 2–3, 2015

59%
25%
16%

34%
108 African American registered voters
± 3.3%


Asian Americans[edit]






































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Other
Undecided
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
National Asian American Survey[17]August 10–September 29, 2016

59%
16%
10%
16%

43%
2,543
± 3.5%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[18]September 2–3, 2015

45.2%
39.8%



5.4%



SurveyUSA[16]
September 2–3, 2015
39%

41%

20%

2%
63 registered voters
± 3.3%


Hispanic Americans[edit]


















































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Undecided
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Politico/Morning Consult[1]November 4-5, 2016

61%
27%


34%
1,482 likely voters
± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2]November 3-5, 2016

65%
20%


45%
1,282 likely voters
± 2.7%
Pew Research[6]September 27-October 10, 2016

56%
24%


32%
4,132 respondents
±2.8%
Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Telemundo[19]September 15-20, 2016

63%
16%


47%
300 Hispanic registered voters
±5.66%
YouGov/The Economist[11]September 4–6, 2016

63%
21%
16%

42%
1,300 adults
±4.4%
Morning Consult[20]September 1–2, 2016

61%
21%


40%
2,001 registered voters
±2%
USA Today/Suffolk University[12]August 24–29, 2016

65%
24%


41%
1,000 voters
±3%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[21]July 4 – August 4, 2016

59.1%
27.8%


31.3%



SurveyUSA[16]
September 2–3, 2015

50%
31%
19%

19%
171 Hispanic American registered voters
± 3.3%


White Americans[edit]










































































































































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Undecided
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[22]November 4-6, 2016
38%

50%


12%
799 likely voters
± 3.5%
ABC News/Washington Post[23]November 3-6, 2016
38%

53%


15%
2,220 likely voters
± 2.5%
Politico/Morning Consult[1]November 4-5, 2016
39%

49%


10%
1,482 likely voters
± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2]November 3-5, 2016
38%

53%


15%
1,282 likely voters
± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College[3]November 1-3, 2016
37%

49%


12%
940 likely voters
± 3.2%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016
42%

54%
3%

12%
779 likely voters
±4.0%
American Research Group[4]October 17-20, 2016
42%

50%
3%

8%
1,006 likely voters
±3.0%
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[25]October 14-17, 2016
40%

49%


9%
1,006 likely voters
±3.1%
PRRI/Brookings[26]October 12-17, 2016
40%

43%


3%
692 likely voters
±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5]October 10-13, 2016
40%

51%


11%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
Pew Research[6]September 27-October 10, 2016
33%

42%


9%
4,132 respondents
±2.8%
American Research Group[7]September 17-20, 2016
39%

50%
5%

11%
990 registered voters
±3.2%
McClatchy/Marist College[27]September 15-20, 2016
37%

53%
2%

16%
1,298 adults
±2.7%
Ipsos/Reuters[28]September 15-19, 2016
33%

42%
8%

9%
1,098 White American registered voters
±3.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [8]September 16-18, 2016
41%

49%


8%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
Morning Consult[10]September 6–8, 2016
35%

44%


9%
1,710 likely voters
±2%
ABC News/Washington Post[29]September 5–8, 2016
36%

50%


14%
1,002 adults
±3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[30]September 1–4, 2016
34%

55%


21%
1,001 adults
±3.5%

Ipsos/Reuters[31]
August 25–29, 2016
35%

44%

7%

9%
1,946 Americans
±2.5%

SurveyUSA[16]
September 2–3, 2015
34%

51%
14%

17%
603 White American registered voters
± 3.3%


Non-white/Minority Americans[edit]


























































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Undecided
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[22]November 4-6, 2016

63%
26%


37%
799 likely voters
± 3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016

72%
21%


51%
779 likely voters
±8.0%
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[25]October 14-17, 2016

74%
21%


53%
1,006 likely voters
±3.1%
PRRI/Brookings[26]October 12-17, 2016

76%
17%


59%
692 likely voters
±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5]October 10-13, 2016

76%
16%


60%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[32]September 22-26, 2016

67%
17%
6%

50%
345 minority American registered voters
±6.0%


By education[edit]



White Americans with a college degree[edit]



















































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Politico/Morning Consult[1]November 4-5, 2016

48%
41%

7%
1,482 likely voters
± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2]November 3-5, 2016

51%
41%

10%
1,282 likely voters
± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College[3]November 1-3, 2016

50%
40%

10%
940 likely voters
± 3.2%
PRRI/Brookings[26]October 12-17, 2016

53%
34%

19%
692 likely voters
±4.4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal [8]September 16-19, 2016

49%
43%

5%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times[9]September 9-13, 2016

51%
40%

11%
1,753 adults
±3.0%


White Americans without a college degree[edit]





































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2]November 3-5, 2016
30%

60%

30%
1,282 likely voters
± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College[3]November 1-3, 2016
27%

57%

30%
940 likely voters
± 3.2%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[8]September 16-19, 2016
35%

53%

18%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
CBS News/New York Times[9]September 9-13, 2016
32%

58%

26%
1,753 adults
±3.0%


By gender[edit]



Male Americans[edit]




Male voters for Trump[33][34][35][36]














































































































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[22]November 4-6, 2016
39%

50%

11%
799 likely voters
± 3.5%
Politico/Morning Consult[1]November 4-5, 2016
43%

44%

1%
1,482 likely voters
± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2]November 3-5, 2016
42%

47%

5%
1,282 likely voters
± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College[3]November 1-3, 2016
38%

50%

12%
940 likely voters
± 3.2%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016
46%

49%

3%
779 likely voters
±5.0%
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[25]October 14-17, 2016

46%
44%

2%
1,006 likely voters
±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5]October 10-13, 2016
45%

48%

3%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
Pew Research[6]September 27-October 10, 2016
34%

41%

7%
4,132 respondents
±2.8%
PRRI/The Atlantic[37]October 5-9, 2016
37%

48%

11%
886 likely voters

Ipsos/Reuters[32]September 22-26, 2016

43%
40%

3%
562 registered voters
±4.7%
American Research Group[7]September 17-20, 2016
38%

55%

17%
990 registered voters
±3.2%
Ipsos/Reuters[28]September 15-19, 2016

40%
37%

3%
649 registered voters
±4.4%
CBS News/New York Times[9]September 9-13, 2016
39%

50%

11%
1,753 adults
±3.0%
Quinnipiac University[38]September 8-13, 2016
41%

50%

9%
960 likely voters
±3.2%
YouGov/The Economist[11]September 4–6, 2016
43%

44%

1%
1,300 adults
±4.4%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[30]September 1–4, 2016
32%

54%

22%
1,001 adults
±3.5%
Ipsos/Reuters[31]August 25–29, 2016

42%
40%

2%
1,946 Americans
±2.5%

Quinnipiac University[39]
August 18–24, 2016
42%

48%

6%
1,498 likely voters
±2.5%

ABC News/Washington Post[40]
July 11–14, 2016
41%

49%

8%
816 registered voters
±4.0%


Female Americans[edit]




Female voters for Clinton[33][34][35][36]







































































































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[22]November 4-6, 2016

51%
36%

15%
799 likely voters
± 3.5%
Politico/Morning Consult[1]November 4-5, 2016

47%
41%

6%
1,482 likely voters
± 3.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[2]November 3-5, 2016

53%
38%

15%
1,282 likely voters
± 2.7%
McClatchy/Marist College[3]November 1-3, 2016

48%
37%

11%
940 likely voters
± 3.2%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016

54%
41%

13%
779 likely voters
±5.0%
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[25]October 14-17, 2016

55%
38%

17%
1,006 likely voters
±3.1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5]October 10-13, 2016

55%
35%

20%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
Ipsos/Reuters[32]September 22-26, 2016

45%
32%

13%
849 registered voters
±3.8%
Ipsos/Reuters[28]September 15-19, 2016

42%
33%

9%
808 registered voters
±3.9%
CBS News/New York Times[9]September 9-13, 2016

52%
39%

13%
1,753 adults
±3%
Quinnipiac University[38]September 8-13, 2016

54%
36%

18%
960 likely voters
±3.2%
Morning Consult[10]September 6–8, 2016

41%
36%

5%
1,710 likely voters
±2%
YouGov/The Economist[11]September 4–6, 2016

45%
40%

5%
1,300 adults
±4.4%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[30]September 1–4, 2016

53%
38%

15%
1,001 adults
±3.5%

Ipsos/Reuters[31]
August 25–29, 2016

40%
35%

5%
1,946 Americans
±2.5%

USA Today/Suffolk University[12]
August 24–29, 2016

54%
38%

16%
1,000 voters
±3%

Morning Consult[13]
August 24–26, 2016

44%
35%

9%
2,007 registered voters
±2%

The McClatchy Company/Marist College[41]
July 5–9, 2016

51%
33%

18%
1,249 American adults
±3.0%


Other criteria[edit]



Independent voters[edit]




































































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co[22]November 4-6, 2016
38%

44%

6%
799 likely voters
± 3.5%
Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights[42]October 28-31, 2016

39%
35%

4%
601 likely voters who identify as independent
± 4.0%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016
43%

48%

5%
779 likely voters
±6.0%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[5]October 10-13, 2016
36%

41%

5%
1,000 registered voters
±3.1%
Emerson College[43]September 11-13, 2016
36%

41%

5%
600 likely voters
±3.9%
CBS News/New York Times[9]September 9-13, 2016
39%

42%

4%
1,753 adults
±3.0%
Quinnipiac University[38]September 8-13, 2016
40%

45%

5%
960 likely voters
±3.2%
Morning Consult[10]September 6–8, 2016
26%

35%

9%
1,710 likely voters
±2%
ABC News/Washington Post[29]September 5–8, 2016

39%
37%

2%
1,002 adults
±3.5%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[30]September 1–4, 2016
29%

49%

20%
1,001 adults
±3.5%
Public Policy Polling[44]August 26–28, 2016
41%

45%

4%
881 likely voters
±3.3%
Monmouth University[45]August 25–28, 2016

37%
32%

5%
802 registered voters
±3.5%
NBC News/SurveyMonkey[46]August 22–28, 2016

37%
33%

4%
24,104 adults
±1.0%


LGBT Americans[edit]
















Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Whitman Insight Strategies[47]March 29 – April 2, 2016

84%
16%

68%
338 LGBT likely voters
± 5.3%


Young Americans[edit]
















Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Harvard University Institute of Politics[48]October 7-17, 2016

59%
25%

34%
1,054 18 to 29 year old American likely voters
±3.11%


Americans with household incomes of $100,000 or more[edit]
















Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Leading
by %
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights[49]September 16-19, 2016

46%
42%

4%
600 likely voters with household incomes of $100,000 or more
±4.0%


Three-way race[edit]



Independent voters[edit]























Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Public Policy Polling[50]October 20-21, 2016
32%

36%
13%
990 likely voters

Fox News[51]June, 2016
22%

32%
23%



Four-way race[edit]



By race or ethnicity[edit]



African Americans[edit]










































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pew Research[52]October 20-25, 2016

81%
3%
6%
2%
2,120 registered voters

ABC News[53]October 20-22, 2016

82%
3%
2%
5%
874 likely voters
±3.5%
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe/Colby College[54]October 11-14, 2016

85%
6%
2%
0%
845 likely voters
±3.4%
CBS News/New York Times[55]September 28-October 2, 2016

80%
7%
5%
2%
1,501 adults
±4.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[56]September 19-22, 2016

89%
2%
2%
3%
1,001 adults
±4.5%
YouGov/The Economist[57]September 18 - 19, 2016

79%
3%
2%
1%
1,300 adults
±3.9%
YouGov/The Economist[11]September 4–6, 2016

78%
8%
3%
0%
1,300 adults
±4.4%

Public Policy Polling[44]
August 26–28, 2016

73%
9%
3%
6%
881 likely voters
±3.3%


Hispanic Americans[edit]


































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pew Research[52]October 20-25, 2016

65%
18%
6%
4%
2,120 registered voters

ABC News[53]October 20-22, 2016

63%
25%
9%
1%
874 likely voters
±3.5%
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe/Colby College[54]October 11-14, 2016

60%
25%
7%
4%
845 likely voters
±3.4%
ABC News/Washington Post[56]September 19-22, 2016

68%
19%
8%
3%
1,001 adults
±4.5%
YouGov/The Economist[57]September 18 - 19, 2016

54%
23%
9%
2%
1,300 adults
±3.9%
YouGov/The Economist[11]September 4–6, 2016

56%
20%
1%
15%
1,300 adults
±4.4%
Pew Research[58]August 9–16, 2016

50%
26%
9%
9%



White Americans[edit]


























































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016
39%

52%
4%
2%
779 likely voters
±4.0%
ABC News[53]October 20-22, 2016
43%

47%
5%
1%
874 likely voters
±3.5%
Quinnipiac University[59]October 5-6, 2016
38%

51%
5%
2%
1,064 likely voters
± 3.0%
CBS News/New York Times[55]September 28-October 2, 2016
37%

49%
8%
2%
1,501 adults
±4.0%
YouGov/The Economist[57]September 18 - 19, 2016
32%

46%
7%
2%
1,300 adults
±3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters[28]September 15-19, 2016
31%

41%
10%
3%
1,098 White American registered voters
±3.4%
YouGov/The Economist[11]September 4–6, 2016
32%

45%
9%
4%
1,300 adults
±4.4%
Ipsos/Reuters[31]August 25–29, 2016
35%

42%
7%
2%
1,496 Americans
±2.5%
Pew Research[60]August 9–16, 2016
33%

45%
11%
4%



YouGov/The Economist[61]
July 30 – August 1, 2016
33%

42%
10%
4%
1300 adults
± 4.0%


By gender[edit]



Female Americans[edit]










































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pew Research[52]October 20-25, 2016

52%
36%
4%
2%
2,120 registered voters

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016

52%
39%
3%
1%
779 likely voters
±5.0%
ABC News[53]October 20-22, 2016

55%
35%
3%
2%
874 likely voters
±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times[55]September 28-October 2, 2016

51%
33%
8%
3%
1,501 adults
±4.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[56]September 19-22, 2016

55%
36%
4%
2%
1,001 adults
±4.5%
YouGov/The Economist[57]September 18 - 19, 2016

44%
37%
4%
2%
1,300 adults
±3.9%
Ipsos/Reuters[28]September 15-19, 2016

39%
31%
9%
5%
808 registered voters
±3.9%
Emerson College[43]September 11-13, 2016

53%
34%
7%
1%
800 likely voters
±3.4%


Male Americans[edit]


































































































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pew Research[52]October 20-25, 2016
39%

43%
8%
4%
2,120 registered voters

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016
44%

47%
4%
3%
779 likely voters
±5.0%
CBS News/New York Times[55]September 28-October 2, 2016
38%

49%
7%
2%
1,501 adults
±4%
ABC News/Washington Post[56]September 19-22, 2016
35%

54%
7%
1%
1,001 adults
±4.5%
YouGov/The Economist[57]September 18 - 19, 2016
37%

39%
10%
3%
1,300 adults
±3.9%
Emerson College[43]September 11-13, 2016
28%

52%
11%
3%
800 likely voters
±3.4%
Ipsos/Reuters[31]August 25–29, 2016

42%
37%
8%
2%
1,946 Americans
±2.5%
Quinnipiac University[39]August 18–24, 2016
35%

42%
14%
6%


Pew Research[62]August 9–16, 2016
33%

45%
10%
4%


RABA Research[63]July 29, 2016

42%
35%
8%
3%
956 Americans
± 3.2%

YouGov/The Economist[64]
July 23–24, 2016
35%

45%
6%
3%
1300 general population respondents
± 4.2%


By education[edit]



White Americans with a college degree[edit]










































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016

51%
40%
5%
1%
779 likely voters
±5.5%
ABC News[53]October 20-22, 2016

52%
36%
7%
1%
874 likely voters
±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times[55]September 28-October 2, 2016

49%
37%
8%
3%
1,501 adults
±4.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[56]September 19-22, 2016

48%
39%
8%
2%
1,001 adults
±4.5%


White Americans without a college degree[edit]










































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016
31%

60%
3%
2%
779 likely voters
±5.5%
ABC News[53]October 20-22, 2016
36%

55%
3%
2%
874 likely voters
±3.5%
CBS News/New York Times[55]September 28-October 2, 2016
30%

56%
8%
1%
1,501 adults
±4.0%
ABC News/Washington Post[56]September 19-22, 2016
30%

62%
4%
<1%
1,001 adults
±4.5%


By age[edit]



Americans aged 18–34[edit]


















































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
USA Today/Rock the Vote[65]October 24-27, 2016

62%
21%
8%
4%
668 likely voters
±5.5%
SurveyUSA/Boston Globe/Colby College[54]October 11-14, 2016

55%
25%
6%
5%
845 likely voters
±3.4%
USA Today/Rock the Vote[66]October 11-13, 2016

68%
20%
8%
1%
400 likely voters
±5.5%
Quinnipiac[67]September 8-13, 2016

31%
26%
29%
15%
960 likely voters
±3.2%

Investor's Business Daily[68]
July 29-August 4, 2016
30%
12%

35%
14%
851 likely voters
±3.2%


Americans aged 35–49[edit]


























Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016

48%
41%
4%
2%
779 likely voters
±8.5%
Quinnipiac[67]September 8-13, 2016

44%
31%
19%
2%
960 likely voters
±3.2%


Americans aged 50–64[edit]


































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pew Research[52]October 20-25, 2016
43%

47%
4%
2%
2,120 registered voters

CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[24]October 20-23, 2016
46%

50%
2%
1%
779 likely voters
±6.0%
Quinnipiac[67]September 8-13, 2016
42%

47%
6%
3%
960 likely voters
±3.2%


Americans aged 65+[edit]


































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pew Research[52]October 20-25, 2016
45%

47%
3%
1%
2,120 registered voters

ABC News/Washington Post[56]September 19-22, 2016
41%

53%
2%
2%
1,001 adults
±4.5%
Quinnipiac[67]September 8-13, 2016
42%

49%
4%
1%
960 likely voters
±3.2%


Other criteria[edit]



Independent voters[edit]


















































Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights[42]October 28-31, 2016

30%
27%
19%
8%
601 likely voters who identify as independent
± 4.0%
Fox News[69]September 11-14, 2016
31%

36%
16%
7%
1,006 registered voters
±3.0%
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation[30]September 1–4, 2016
29%

49%
16%
6%
1,001 adults
±3.5%
Quinnipiac University[39]August 18–24, 2016
33%
34%
19%
9%
1,498 likely voters
±2.5%

Ipsos/Reuters[70]
July 25–29, 2016

21%
19%
18%
6%
1,788 registered voters
± 2.4%


Americans with household incomes of $100,000 or more[edit]


















Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights[49]September 16-19, 2016

41%
37%
9%
2%
600 likely voters
±4.0%


Military[edit]


















Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Military Times/Syracuse University[71]September 2016
16.3%

37.6%
36.5%
1.2%
2,200 active-duty military
±2.0%


LGBT Americans[edit]


















Poll source
Date
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
Jill Stein
Green
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Pew Research[72]September 27-October 10, 2016

72%
13%
7%
8%
167 registered voters who identify as lesbian, gay or bisexual


See also[edit]


General election polling
  • Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

  • Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

  • International opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

Democratic primary polling
  • Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries

  • Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016

Republican primary polling
  • Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries

  • Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016


References[edit]




  1. ^ abcdef "Final poll: Clinton leads Trump by 3 as voters lock in". Politico. 6 November 2016. Retrieved 6 November 2016. 


  2. ^ abcdefg "Final NBC/WSJ Poll: Clinton Holds a Four-Point National Lead Over Trump". NBC News. 6 November 2016. Retrieved 6 November 2016. 


  3. ^ abcdef "Clinton and Trump Close Nationally" (PDF). 5 November 2016. Retrieved 5 November 2016. 


  4. ^ ab "National Presidential Ballot". Retrieved 22 October 2016. 


  5. ^ abcdef "Clinton Holds 11-Point National Lead Over Trump: NBC/WSJ Poll". 16 October 2016. 


  6. ^ abcd "In Presidential Contest, Voters Say Basic Facts, Not Just Policies, Are in Dispute" (PDF). 14 October 2016. 


  7. ^ abc "National Presidential Ballot". 21 September 2016. Retrieved 22 September 2016. 


  8. ^ abcd "Poll: Clinton Leads Trump Ahead of First Debate". 21 September 2016. Retrieved 21 September 2016. 


  9. ^ abcdef "Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton locked in tight race nationally - CBS/NYT poll". 15 September 2016. 


  10. ^ abcd "Presidential Race a Near Toss-Up Among Likely Voters". 11 September 2016. Retrieved 11 September 2016. 


  11. ^ abcdefg "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF). 7 September 2016. Retrieved 7 September 2016. 


  12. ^ abc "Suffolk University/USA Today Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 7 Points". 1 September 2016. Retrieved 1 September 2016. 


  13. ^ ab "Trump Gains Ground on Clinton; Black Voters Still Wary". 28 August 2016. Retrieved 29 August 2016. 


  14. ^ http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/


  15. ^ http://culturintel.tumblr.com/post/145513494088/latino-support-for-trump-on-the-rise-at-37


  16. ^ abcd "Labor Day Look at the 2016 General Election For President: Every Democrat Trails Trump, Though Narrowly:". 4 September 2015. Retrieved 7 May 2016. 


  17. ^ Asian American Voices in the 2016 Election. (PDF). 5 October 2016.


  18. ^ http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/#about


  19. ^ "Hillary Clinton Retains Lead Over Donald Trump With Hispanic Voters". 22 September 2016. Retrieved 22 September 2016. 


  20. ^ "Trump's Immigration Stance Isn't Hurting Him". 4 September 2016. Retrieved 5 September 2016. 


  21. ^ http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/#about


  22. ^ abcde "Bloomberg Politics National Poll". Bloomberg Politics. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 7 November 2016. 


  23. ^ "Post-ABC Tracking Poll: Clinton 47, Trump 43 on election eve". The Washington Post. 7 November 2016. Retrieved 7 November 2016. 


  24. ^ abcdefghijkl "CNN/ORC International Poll" (PDF). 24 October 2016. Retrieved 24 October 2016. 


  25. ^ abcd "Bloomberg Politics National Poll". 19 October 2016. Retrieved 19 October 2016. 


  26. ^ abc "Clinton maintains double-digit (51% vs. 36%) lead over Trump". 19 October 2016. Retrieved 22 October 2016. 


  27. ^ "McClatchy-Marist Poll of 1,298 National Adults". 23 September 2016. 


  28. ^ abcde "Core Political Data (Expansion)". 22 September 2016. Retrieved 22 September 2016. 


  29. ^ ab "Clinton holds lead over Trump in new poll, but warning signs emerge". 10 September 2016. Retrieved 11 September 2016. 


  30. ^ abcde "Poll: Nine weeks out, a near even race". 6 September 2016. Retrieved 6 September 2016. 


  31. ^ abcde "Core Political Data (Expansion)". 1 September 2016. Retrieved 2 September 2016. 


  32. ^ abc "Core Political Data (Expansion)". 29 September 2016. Retrieved 29 September 2016. 


  33. ^ ab "Election Update: Women Are Defeating Donald Trump". FiveThirtyEight. 2016-10-11. Retrieved 2016-11-06. 


  34. ^ ab "Genders divided in the US - if only men voted, Donald Trump would win by a landslide". The Telegraph. Retrieved 2016-11-06. 


  35. ^ ab "Presidential Polling Data - Presidential Gender Watch". Presidential Gender Watch. Retrieved 2016-11-06. 


  36. ^ ab Becker, Kyle (2016-10-13). "This Elections Map Shows What Would Happen If Only Women Voted. If Only Men Voted...Much Different Picture". Independent Journal Review. Retrieved 2016-11-06. 


  37. ^ "Hillary Clinton opens up a commanding 11-point lead over Donald Trump". October 11, 2016. 


  38. ^ abc "Trump Cuts Clinton Lead In Half, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds, Most Americans Are Voting Against, Not For, A Candidate". 14 September 2016. Retrieved 14 September 2016. 


  39. ^ abc "Clinton tops 50 percent, leads Trump by 10 points, Quinnipiac University National Poll finds" (PDF). 25 August 2016. Retrieved 29 August 2016. 


  40. ^ "Clinton holds narrow lead over Trump on eve of conventions". 17 July 2016. Retrieved 17 July 2016. 


  41. ^ "Clinton's lead over Trump shrinks dramatically". 13 July 2016. Retrieved 13 July 2016. 


  42. ^ ab "Bloomberg Politics Purple Slice Poll Independent Voters". Bloomberg Politics. November 2, 2016. 


  43. ^ abc "Trump Leads Clinton Nationally and in Four States Polled, 3 of 4 Senate Incumbents Look Safe, Pneumonia News Hurting Clinton" (PDF). 15 September 2016. 


  44. ^ ab "Clinton National Lead Steady at 5 Points; Both Candidates Becoming More Unpopular" (PDF). 30 August 2016. Retrieved 30 August 2016. 


  45. ^ "Clinton Holds Lead Amid Record High Dislike of Both Nominees". 29 August 2016. Retrieved 30 August 2016. 


  46. ^ "Poll: Donald Trump Chips Away at Hillary Clinton's National Lead". 30 August 2016. Retrieved 30 August 2016. 


  47. ^ "Recent Survey Findings Among LGBT Likely Voters" (PDF). 4 May 2016. Retrieved 7 May 2016. 


  48. ^ "Survey of Young Americans' Attitudes toward Politics and Public Service" (PDF). Retrieved 26 October 2016. 


  49. ^ ab "Bloomberg Politics/Purple Slice Poll Voters with HH Incomes of 100K Dollars Plus". 21 September 2016. Retrieved 21 September 2016. 


  50. ^ "National Survey Results" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. Retrieved 26 October 2016. 


  51. ^ https://nypost.com/2016/06/11/hillary-sinks-to-third-place-among-independent-voters-poll/


  52. ^ abcdef "Factors underlying voter preferences, positive and negative voting". 27 October 2016. Retrieved 27 October 2016. 


  53. ^ abcdef "Clinton Vaults to a Double-Digit Lead, Boosted by Broad Disapproval of Trump" (PDF). 23 October 2016. Retrieved 23 October 2016. 


  54. ^ abc "On Eve of Final Debate, Clinton 10 Atop Trump Nationwide in Take-No-Prisoners Campaign - She Leads by 44 Points Among Urban Women - He Leads by 9 Points Among Rural Women". 18 October 2016. Retrieved 19 October 2016. 


  55. ^ abcdef "Hillary Clinton edges ahead of Donald Trump after first debate - CBS News poll". 3 October 2016. Retrieved 4 October 2016. 


  56. ^ abcdefg "Clinton-Trump Race Narrows on the Doorstep of the Debates (POLL)". 25 September 2016. Retrieved 25 September 2016. 


  57. ^ abcde "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF). Retrieved 21 September 2016. 


  58. ^ http://www.people-press.org/2016/08/18/1-voters-general-election-preferences/


  59. ^ "Women, Non-Whites Give Clinton 5-Point Lead Over Trump, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds Independent Voters In Big Shift To Clinton". 7 October 2016. 


  60. ^ http://www.people-press.org/2016/08/18/1-voters-general-election-preferences/


  61. ^ "The Economist/YouGov Poll" (PDF). 


  62. ^ http://www.people-press.org/2016/08/18/1-voters-general-election-preferences/


  63. ^ "National Survey Results" (PDF). Retrieved 30 July 2016. 


  64. ^ "Convention impact limited as Clinton still leads Trump". Retrieved July 31, 2016. 


  65. ^ Clinton's massive lead over Trump narrows a bit among Millennials in new poll


  66. ^ Will Millennials vote? Poll finds record support for Clinton, but enthusiasm ebbing


  67. ^ abcd Quinnipiac


  68. ^ Investor's Business Daily


  69. ^ "Fox News Poll: Clinton and Trump in a one-point race among likely voters". September 15, 2016. Retrieved September 16, 2016. 


  70. ^ "Core Political Data". Retrieved July 31, 2016. 


  71. ^ Shane, Leo III; Altman, George R. (September 21, 2016). "This poll of the U.S. military has Gary Johnson tied with Donald Trump in the race for president". Military Times. Retrieved September 21, 2016. 


  72. ^ "Lesbian, gay and bisexual voters remain a solidly Democratic bloc". Pew Research. October 25, 2016. Retrieved October 26, 2016. 



External links[edit]



  • Exit polls for the 2016 election.


  • Bloomberg Politics Poll Decoder.


  • Pew Research.


  • Gallup.









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